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Tag: Strait of Hormuz

HomeAll PostsTag: Strait of Hormuz

STEELLDYThrough Steelldy consulting company, I assist companies, fintechs, and institutions in two key areas: ◙ Economic and financial statistical modeling via our DaaS & SaaS software (macroeconomic index platform). Analysis of the transition to a multipolar world: stablecoins, gold, copper, precious metals, industrial metals, oil, dollars, euros, yuan, yen, rubles, CBDC, BISIH, mBridge, Unified Ledger, BRICS, and global regulations. ◙ Web3 Law & Taxation Legal and Tax structuring of blockchain-based projects, RWA, tokenization, cryptocurrency (stablecoins, CBDC), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO), MiCA compliance, ISO 20022, AI, MANBRIC/biotech technologies, robotics, smart cities, and ESG taxonomy.

Analyse de marché

Energy lockdown risk dynamics post US-Iran conflict

Multi-engine analysis suggests that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a supply shock of 20 Mb/d (20% of world consumption), has established a regime of "structural energy constraint." This regime is characterized by a high conditional probability of activating restrictive measures on mobility ("energy lockdown"), estimated at 81.3% for 03/31/26, according to…

04/01/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

Modeling the Systemic Consequences of a U.S. Ground Intervention in Iran (Post-March 23-28, 2026)

The integration of our analytical data and market signals into our Steelldy-Gotham architecture reveals an imminent regime shift. The US ground intervention in Iran, following the failure of negotiations (March 23-28, 2026), is not a simple military event. It is the final detonator that: (a) Permanently closes the Iranian “Shadow Loop”: Iranian energy credits…

03/24/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

The U.S. Treasury temporarily lifts nearly all sanctions on Iranian oil tankers, allowing exports loaded March 20 – April 19, 2026, signaling a major shift in Iran policy

The U.S. Treasury's General License U (issued March 20, 2026) is explicitly designed to exert downward pressure on oil prices by flooding the market with additional supply at a time when prices have surged over 50% since the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran began in late February. Why It Targets Prices The license authorizes the…

03/21/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

Tactical Decoupling Gold/Wheat – Analysis of the Fall of Gold to $4,575

The drop in gold to $4,575 (the sharpest daily decline since 2020) does not invalidate the "Gold/Wheat = Twin Survival Assets" thesis. It represents a tactical decoupling induced by a sudden shift in monetary regime. Multi-engine analysis reveals the following sequence: Monetary Shock: The Fed adopts an unexpectedly hawkish tone, pushing rate cuts to 2027.…

03/19/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

The US Treasury announcement on 03/13/2026 temporarily lifts restrictions on Russian oil

The US Treasury issued a temporary waiver on restrictions for certain stranded Russian oil shipments, announced around March 12-13, 2026, to address global supply disruptions amid escalating tensions with Iran. This 30-day exemption allows countries to purchase and transport Russian crude and petroleum products that were loaded onto ships as of March 12, 2026, with…

03/13/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché Economic studies

Systemic Revaluation of Tangible Assets: Why Gold and Gold Miners Dominate the Market (“The Great Rotation into Reality”)

The current outperformance of gold (XAU) and mining stocks over the rest of the market (especially technology) is not a temporary anomaly. It results from the "double commoditization" of AI and software, which is destroying the monetization model of intellectual capital. As intelligence becomes a cheap and widely available commodity, the physical resources needed to…

03/03/20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Tag: Strait of Hormuz

Modeling the Systemic Consequences of a U.S. Ground Intervention in Iran (Post-March 23-28, 2026)

The U.S. Treasury temporarily lifts nearly all sanctions on Iranian oil tankers, allowing exports loaded March 20 – April 19, 2026, signaling a major shift in Iran policy

Tactical Decoupling Gold/Wheat – Analysis of the Fall of Gold to $4,575

The US Treasury announcement on 03/13/2026 temporarily lifts restrictions on Russian oil

Systemic Revaluation of Tangible Assets: Why Gold and Gold Miners Dominate the Market (“The Great Rotation into Reality”)

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Webus International, société chinoise, lance un fonds de gestion de trésorerie d’entreprise de 300 millions de dollars en XRP