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Tag: MVRV

Intricate futuristic circuit board with geometric patterns in teal and gray tones.

Profitability and margin structure. Quantified comparison of SpaceX (Q2 2026) vs hyperscaler models (AWS, Azure/Microsoft Cloud, Google Cloud, Meta AI infrastructure).

https://www.steelldy-indices.com SpaceX has a gross margin of 55.3%, but negative operating and net margins (-1.8% and -6.9%). Only Starlink connectivity is profitable (~+$1.66B OI), while Space and AI segments are loss-making. AWS boasts a 39.4% operating margin (+650 bps YoY), generating ~60% of Amazon's consolidated OI from ~21% of revenue. Microsoft Cloud's gross margin is…

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A satellite orbits Earth, showcasing a stunning blue ocean and continents from space.

Structured Quantitative Financial Analysis of SpaceX. Consolidated Accounts for Q2 2026 (period ended June 30, 2026)

Revenue decomposition and growth dynamics for Q2 FY26 Consolidated revenue reached 7,814, representing a 91.94% year-over-year increase from 4,071. The total revenue growth of 3,743 is driven by AI compute capacity rental (approx. +1,880, 50.2% of the increase), Starlink Connectivity (approx. +1,700, 45.4%), and Space Launch & other (residual +163). Key margins for Q2 FY26:…

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Aerial view of a snow-covered quarry in Bewerley, North Yorkshire, England during winter.

Dr. Copper & Global Recession Risk

Executive Summary Copper ("Dr. Copper") remains a useful leading indicator of global industrial activity due to its ubiquitous use (power grids, construction, automotive, electronics, data centers). Futures are currently trading above $6.50/lb (COMEX), up about 30% year-over-year, and are holding above the 50- and 200-day moving averages. The metal formed a trough before equity markets…

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La métrique de capitulation est à 0.95 (99e percentile), rappelant les fonds de cycles précédents (+300% à +500% post-capitulation).

Les données on-chain montrent une réalisation de profits par les détenteurs long terme (SOPR LTH 1.45) tandis que les STH capitulent (SOPR STH 0.94), indiquant un transfert sain de l'offre. Le marché est en zone de "Croyance" (NUPL 0.68) et légèrement surévalué (MVRV 3.2) sans être euphorique. L'accumulation par les whales est forte (WAI 0.72),…

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Concentration S&P 500 : la bulle IA au sommet, le découplage crypto s’amorce

Thèse principale Nous avons atteint la phase terminale de la bulle IA 2.0, qui présente des ressemblances structurelles avec la bulle dot-com, cependant dissimulée par une liquidité abondante et une concentration intense au sein du S&P 500. Le Bitcoin se présente comme l'actif anti-bulle qui est rare, décentralisé, non admissible au sauvetage financier,…

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