Thesis. The 2024/2026 AI cycle is the largest fixed capital investment cycle in modern economic history. The market question is no longer Will AI transform the economy? but “Who bears the capex risk, and at what rate of return?” Humanoid robotics and converging technologies (MANBRIC: Metaverse AI Nano Bio Robotics Info Cognition the extended NBIC…
Technological revolutions are not equal as investment themes; they are equal as cost curves. Three curves are collapsing simultaneously in 2026-2030, the cost of AI inference, the cost of physical action (humanoid robotics and logistics), and the cost of biological reading/writing (sequencing, synthesis), and their intersection is creating the markets of the decade: instrumented smart…
AI capex has become an infrastructure cycle of utility-like scale , comparable to railroads or the electrical grid , with a readable value chain: semiconductors (the cluster of megacaps that the market now groups under acronyms like "MANBRIC": Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Broadcom, and others), data centers, energy, and now physical robotics. Biotech remains the pocket…