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Tag: Long position

Crypto Short Squeeze

Bitcoin surged to $76,800-$77,600, gaining 6-8% in 24 hours and 20% for the week. The market saw over $4 billion in 24-hour liquidations, marking the most violent short squeeze of 2026. Combined BTC/ETH ETF inflows exceeded $800 million, indicating massive institutional entries. The funding rate shifted from negative to positive, signaling a return of long…

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Close-up view of ancient Roman silver coins showcasing detailed engravings and historical significance.

Silver Prices Surge Past $121 as Structural Deficit Sparks Liquidity Crisis

https://www.steelldy-indices.com The silver deficit is intensifying, with demand exceeding supply for the sixth consecutive year. According to the Silver Institute, the global market is expected to face a supply deficit of 46.3 million ounces in 2026, bringing the total deficit since 2021 to a staggering 762.1 million ounces. This persistent shortage is notable despite a…

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French Debt Crosses the Rubicon: 30-Year OAT Yield Hits Phase Transition at 4.6926%

https://www.steelldy-indices.com The morning fixing of the 30-year French OAT yield at 4.6926% marks a "phase transition" market event. Cross-referenced with our proprietary risk engines, this level signals a critical threshold for French debt sustainability, with non-negligible probability of a self-fulfilling confidence crisis. Key findings: the 5-year implied probability of a French fiscal accident jumped from…

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Close-up of gold bars on Thai baht banknotes, symbolizing wealth and prosperity.

Gold vs. Bonds: As Central Banks Hike Rates, Investors Ditch the Yellow Metal for Yield

Gold is currently weakening despite inflation, due to several key factors. In May, Germany’s inflation rate was surprisingly moderate at 2.6% annually, significantly lower than the eurozone’s 3.2%. This deviation from the European trend was primarily driven by a temporary fuel subsidy introduced by the German government, which reduced gasoline and diesel prices. However, this…

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Is Gold’s Dip a Warning or a Buying Opportunity? Unpacking the Bull Market’s Next Move

Recent news headlines have shifted as frequently as gold prices, leaving investors questioning market direction. A disconnect between record demand forecasts and sluggish price action adds to the confusion. Damian White and Joe Elkjer analyze the noise to clarify gold’s dynamics, examining whether the recent price decline is a warning or a pause in a…

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A dynamic image showcasing Bitcoin, credit cards, and financial apps for investment enthusiasts.

Construction of a Conditional Hedge via MNQ Micro E-mini Nasdaq Short. Calibration on BTC Beta=0.45

This study details an advanced quantitative modeling of a conditional hedge for a crypto-exposed portfolio, employing Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 (MNQ) futures contracts as the hedging instrument. The calibration is based on a dynamic conditional beta of BTC/Nasdaq at 0.45, estimated using a multivariate DCC-GARCH(1,1) model with Markov regime switching. Key Findings: ¤ Minimum Variance Hedge…

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From Hedge to Strategy: Gold’s New Role, Bitcoin’s Rise in Portfolios

Gold is considered a tactical long-term asset, but Bitcoin is currently undervalued. ReSolve Asset Management's portfolio manager, Richard Latimer, notes that gold's current price consolidation is expected after its early-year surge. Despite strategically remaining bullish on gold for its structural bull market, ReSolve has become tactically neutral in the short term, having taken profits and…

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