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Tag: FRED

HomeAll PostsTag: FRED

STEELLDYThrough Steelldy consulting company, I assist companies, fintechs, and institutions in two key areas: ◙ Economic and financial statistical modeling via our DaaS & SaaS software (macroeconomic index platform). Analysis of the transition to a multipolar world: stablecoins, gold, copper, precious metals, industrial metals, oil, dollars, euros, yuan, yen, rubles, CBDC, BISIH, mBridge, Unified Ledger, BRICS, and global regulations. ◙ Web3 Law & Taxation Legal and Tax structuring of blockchain-based projects, RWA, tokenization, cryptocurrency (stablecoins, CBDC), decentralized autonomous organizations (DAO), MiCA compliance, ISO 20022, AI, MANBRIC/biotech technologies, robotics, smart cities, and ESG taxonomy.

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Analyse de marché

Analyse de marché

Markets

Decline of Sovereign Bonds as a Safe-Haven Asset and Rotation Toward Gold

Summary: Since 2021, the US bond market has experienced upward pressure on yields, with the stock-bond correlation turning positive. Several institutions (Morgan Stanley, Osaic, Sagard) have officially reduced their allocation to fixed income in favor of gold and real assets. This study models this regime change using a two-state HMM, GARCH volatility, and a Merton…

07/31/20260Comments

Analyse de marché

Analyse de marché

Markets

Nous entrons dans une phase de dislocation asymétrique où la valeur refuge migre de la dette souveraine vers l’actif physique

I. EXÉCUTIF. L’ANOMALIE QUANTIFIÉE DU VIX ET DE L'OR QUI SONT EN DIVERGENCE ABSOLUE Le VIX est à son plus bas historique (4e percentile) tandis que l'or atteint un record absolu (100e percentile), créant une divergence statistique inédite (corrélation -0,63, 1er percentile). Ceci signale un contrôle monétaire et une dislocation systémique plutôt qu'un régime de…

12/26/20250Comments