As of April 30, 2026, the Buffett Ratio (Wilshire 5000 / annualized nominal GDP) reached 227%, with a peak high of 232.6% in March. Paul Tudor Jones uses an expanded measure (total market capitalization / GDP) amounting to approximately 252%, incorporating foreign companies listed in the US and tokenized real assets. This ratio, adjusted for…
This analysis causally links macro-geopolitics (de-dollarization) to micro-speculation (AI bubble) and our investment thesis (Fed Pivot). The analysis of the text and image (de-dollarization) confirms that the financial environment is not stable, but its fragility is the driver of our opportunity.
MACRO & FINANCIAL ANALYSIS: DEDOLLARIZATION, DRIVER OF THE AI PIVOT AND BUBBLE
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1. The Ethereum (ETH) reserve on exchanges reaches an all-time low (6.5 million ETH), signaling a potential Supply Shock, similar to that observed for Bitcoin (BTC).
2. This scarcity indicates that investors are withdrawing their tokens for HODLing, staking, or DeFi, which amplifies the impact of any future demand on the price.
3.…
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