1. Demand Megatrends FTSE Russell identifies two megatrends: AI and the energy transition. We quantify them as follows:
A. AI Infrastructure: The five hyperscalers (Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Meta, Apple) invested $320 billion in H1 2026, in line with an annual projection of $650 billion. Each 100 MW data center requires approximately 30,000 tons of…
The US labor market appears stagnant.
Job creation in April was 115,000, following 185,000 in March and a 156,000 loss in February. However, these figures should be viewed cautiously due to annual restatements that typically eliminate 0.8-1.2 million jobs, equivalent to about 100,000 in average monthly additions historically. This pattern often creates an illusion…
Le modèle économique allemand, basé sur la transformation d'énergie bon marché en biens à haute valeur ajoutée, arrive à un point critique. Selon nos simulations, une multiplication par 2,5 des coûts énergétiques réels d'ici fin 2026 entraînerait l'insolvabilité structurelle de 35 % de la base industrielle du DAX 40, si des subventions étatiques massives, limitées…
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