The GENIUS Act mandates stablecoin issuers to hold 100% reserves in cash or T-bills with maturity ≤ 93 days. This creates a mechanical demand for T-bills, making them the collateral commodity for the new system.
By mid-2025, Tether and Circle held $160 billion in T-bills, exceeding most sovereign nations' holdings, which mechanically compresses short-term…
The original Triffin Dilemma (Bretton Woods I) pitted the issuance of international liquidity (USD) against the necessary convertibility into gold, creating a tension between domestic objectives (avoiding inflation) and international objectives (providing reserves). In the Bretton Woods 2.0 framework, the form of this dilemma is rewritten based on strict collateral rules imposed by the GENIUS…
We are not in a classic crypto cycle; we are witnessing the commoditization of the settlement layer. Bretton Woods I (1944) used a gold-pegged dollar settled via correspondent banks (SWIFT/CHIPS). The current regime (post-1971) relies on the petrodollar and sovereign debt. Bretton Woods 2.0 is based on a Dual Pillar Regime:
1. Physical Pillar…
1.1 Direct Ownership Tokens
1.1.1 On-chain Representation of Carbon Credits Held in Custody by the Investor
Direct ownership tokens constitute the most fundamental form of carbon credit tokenization, representing a digital claim on a physical carbon credit held in custody by an accredited custodian. This structure ensures a one-to-one correspondence between the issued token and…
The ratio of the price of gold to silver, which indicates how many ounces of silver are needed to buy one ounce of gold, is rapidly decreasing, moving from 62.05 to 54.94 in a week. This drop signals that silver is outperforming gold. Such a fast decline is unusual and typically occurs when a metal…
Intel 18A is not a new x86 processor architecture, but rather a 2nm-class manufacturing process node where Intel will fabricate future CPUs, SoCs, and potentially chips for external clients. This process technology is highly anticipated, as it is central to Intel's strategy to overcome nearly five years of problems, aiming to mark a significant "before…
ETH/BTC est le prix relatif de deux systèmes distribués en concurrence. Ses déterminants principaux sont :
Prime de contrat intelligent : capitalisation sur l’écosystème DeFi et les dApps.
Concurrence des "ETH Killers" : Solana, Avalanche, Sui, Aptos, etc., qui érodent la part de marché d’Ethereum.
Mécanisme de destruction EIP‑1559 et frais de gaz : l’activité réseau alimente l’accumulation…
1.1 Adaptation of the Merton Model: Adjustment of the Probability of Default (PD) using the CCQI Index
The integration of the CCQI Index into credit risk models relies on adapting the structural framework of Merton (1974), where a borrower's Probability of Default (PD) is determined by the distance between the value of their assets and…
CCQI index and characterization of TCMs: Tracking Tokenization of RWAs and Carbon Credits
1.1 Methodology for the STEELLDY CCQI (Climate Credit Quality Index)
1.1.1 Definition and Objectives of the Index: Carbon Credit Quality Benchmark for the Voluntary Market
The Climate Credit Quality Index (CCQI), developed by STEELLDY, is a proprietary benchmark for the quality of…
(1) XRP — Settlement Layer and Liquidity Bridge
XRP serves as a neutral liquidity bridge between different fiat currencies and tokenized assets. The arrival of seven US spot XRP ETFs (approximately $1 billion in AUM) signals progressive institutionalization. Demand for XRP structurally stems from the volume of transactional flows, which creates continuous buying pressure…
Décarbonisation
Analyse de marché