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Cryptos

Bitcoin : Expansion Post-Stabilisation & Breakeven Battlefield

The Glassnode "Expansion, Breakdown, Stabilization" framework identifies a mature stabilization phase with volatility-adjusted support built around ~$74,000 and confluent resistance at $80,000–$83,000. This $78K–$83K zone constitutes the "Breakeven Battlefield" where the following overlap: (i) the STH Cost Basis at $78,700 (v5.0), (ii) the True Market Mean Price at ~$81,500 (v3.0), and (iii) the ETF Cost…
mai 5, 20260Comments

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Cryptos

The distinction between a « trap » and a « trigger » in crypto market

The distinction between a "trap" and a "trigger" in market analysis centers on their nature, observability, agents involved, and timing. A trap is a static liquidity configuration, often visible in liquidity heatmaps as bid clusters (e.g., 76K–80K), indicating passive retail accumulation and suggesting resistance (high Kyle's Lambda). This configuration can take hours or days…
mai 1, 20260Comments

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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché Cryptos EconomieEconomie

11 billion dollars of ETH shorts at $4,500 ?!?! – no « imminent short squeeze » as long as there’s easy liquidity to chase

Nous allons pousser le raisonnement au-delà du simple récit « short squeeze imminent » pour montrer le véritable playbook des market makers (MM) : ils ne déclenchent pas le squeeze tant qu’il reste de la liquidité facile à chasser. ❶ L’ordre de grandeur : ◙ 40–50 % de l’OI ETH est concentré autour…
septembre 30, 20250Comments

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