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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

The Strait of Hormuz Crisis Is Over? Physical Markets Tell a Dangerous Lie

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Over several weeks, financial markets have gradually become convinced that the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz is in the past. Each encouraging statement from the White House is immediately interpreted as evidence that maritime shipping is returning to normal. Algorithms sell oil, short positions strengthen, and there is a consensus that the worst…
07/20/20260Comments

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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

De Facto Tolls Solidify: Iran Moves to Formalize Strait of Hormuz Fees and Transit Bans

The Brent oil market shows an extreme divergence between the paper price (futures contracts) at $109 and the physical price (spot) at $141, a $32 gap reflecting a strong "backwardation." Normally, future prices are higher than spot prices (contango) due to storage costs; this inversion signals an immediate scarcity of physical oil. The $141 price…
04/04/20260Comments

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Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché

Study of Gold Dynamics under Kinetic Conflict Regime and Carry Trade Unwinding. Diagnosis as of March 6, 2026

DATE: March 6, 2026 | STATUS: CRITICAL / ABSOLUTE PRIORITY MODEL: Bayesian Inference & Mosaic Theory The singularity of the "Triple Break" Integrated analysis via Steelldy Risk Engine v.12.4 and Steelldy Gotham identifies that we are not in a conventional war cycle for gold. We are witnessing a rare convergence between: (i)…
03/06/20260Comments

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