Commoditization of living space via tokenization, the reduction of physical fuel demand, and the migration towards « non-seizable » or fractional assets

1. Smart City Thematic ETFs: An Already Mature Vector for Institutional Investment Smart City ETFs are a mature investment vehicle attracting significant capital, with around 40 products totaling approximately $15.6 billion in assets under management as of April 2024. Key examples include BlackRock's iShares Smart City Infrastructure UCITS ETF (CITY). These funds directly finance urban…

avril 14, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Simulation of a contraction of % of the USDT monetary mass ($ -12B) and deleveraging cascade on BTC

In our STEEL software, USDT is modeled as the first-tier systemic collateral in decentralized finance. A 10% contraction ($12 billion USD) is a negative convexity shock. Input variables include an initial USDT supply of $120 billion, a contraction speed at T+5 days (exogenous shock like a JPY Carry Trade unwind), an LIR < 0.22 (market…

janvier 30, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Les scénarios probabilistes d’une flambée du Brent en 2026

1. SYNOPSIS EXÉCUTIF. ÉTAT D'URGENCE ÉNERGÉTIQUE Au 4 janvier 2026, une urgence énergétique se profile suite à la convergence de trois chocs : un choc géopolitique (capture de Maduro) menaçant plus de 300 kb/j de brut lourd, un choc technique (WTI testant un support critique à 55-57 USD avec risque de cassure), et un choc…

janvier 4, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac