We use exclusively verifiable public data, collected and processed by our Steelldy Risk Engine 3.4 infrastructure and Bloomberg Intelligence modules:
- Treasury International Capital (TIC): Monthly and annual reports, raw and adjusted data for valuation and hedging effects, broken down by country and maturity (source: Treasury.gov).
- Official reserve flows: IMF COFER (Currency…
The transmission mechanism Yen strength → USD/JPY depreciation → yen carry trade deleveraging → global liquidity contraction → BTC risk-asset beta spike (~2–3x) remains empirically robust. However, it is significantly attenuated following the BoJ’s fully delivered and well-telegraphed 25 bps hike to 1.0% (highest since 1995) on 16 June 2026.
Speculative net-short JPY positions elevated…
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its key interest rate to 1.00% on June 16, 2026, the highest since 1995. This move, widely anticipated with an over 98% probability priced in by markets, had a limited immediate impact on the USD/JPY exchange rate, which remained around 160. This is primarily because the market perceives the…
It forms part of the FSB’s broader work on non-bank financial intermediation (NBFI) resilience and assesses structural risks in the repo (repurchase agreement) markets backed by government bonds—the dominant segment of the global repo market.
Market Size and Composition (as of end-2024)
Government bond-backed repo outstanding totaled approximately $16 trillion, representing roughly 80% of…
I. RÉSUMÉ EXÉCUTIF. FRAGMENTATION RÉGLEMENTAIRE GLOBALE
A. Configuration systémique
La fragmentation réglementaire mondiale persiste, car l'absence d'un cadre unifié G20, malgré les recommandations du FSB de 2023, engendre un arbitrage réglementaire transfrontalier massif et des risques systémiques.
Les données de la feuille de route FSB/FMI (publiée entre octobre 2024 et octobre 2025) confirment…
Analyse de marché