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Analyse de marché

Tether Gold Reserves Surge 36% Amid Market Turmoil, Hitting $3.3 Billion

Tether Gold (XAU₮) experienced significant growth in the first quarter of 2026, with its gold reserves increasing by 36% to $3.3 billion, driven by record gold prices and macroeconomic uncertainty fueling demand for safe-haven assets. The physical gold backing XAU₮ rosefrom 520,089.35 troy ounces at the end of 2025 to 707,747.14 ounces by March 31,…

mai 6, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

Ray Dalio Ups Gold Allocation Forecast Amid Dollar Devaluation and Global Crisis Fears

Gold Is Moving Back to the Center of Finance By Peter Reagan Gold is reasserting itself in finance, moving from an "alternative asset" category to a core holding, driven by recent economic instability. Historically, institutional investors focused mainly on corporate profits and debt, viewing gold skeptically. However, the pandemic-era lockdowns, subsequent inflation, and the significant…

mai 6, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

Fed Chair Succession Coincides with Market Crises: A 100-Year Pattern of Misfortune and Mismanagement

Tune in to this week’s The Gold Spot as Scottsdale Bullion & Coin Precious Metals Advisors Damian White and Tim Murphy break down the link between new Fed leadership and economic downturns, what drives this recurring pattern, and why Kevin Warsh may be facing the toughest setup yet. The audio examines the recurring pattern of…

mai 6, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

BTC: the leverage fragility trap & rising wedge metastability

Central Thesis: The integration of Coinglass Liquidation Map data, the 3D rising wedge pattern, and BTC/Stablecoins dominance reveals that BTC has climbed towards 81,800 USD based on 17.68 billion in vulnerable long leveraged positions below current levels. This configuration, superimposed on the geometry of the 3D rising wedge (mechanical target 67,500-70,000 USD in case of…

mai 6, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

Bitcoin : Expansion Post-Stabilisation & Breakeven Battlefield

The Glassnode "Expansion, Breakdown, Stabilization" framework identifies a mature stabilization phase with volatility-adjusted support built around ~$74,000 and confluent resistance at $80,000–$83,000. This $78K–$83K zone constitutes the "Breakeven Battlefield" where the following overlap: (i) the STH Cost Basis at $78,700 (v5.0), (ii) the True Market Mean Price at ~$81,500 (v3.0), and (iii) the ETF Cost…

mai 5, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

The convergence of physical, behavioral, and microstructural signals confirms that Europe, and particularly France, has entered a regime of asynchronous systemic energy shortage

The convergence of physical, behavioral, and microstructural signals confirms that Europe, and particularly France, has entered a regime of asynchronous systemic energy shortage. The three pillars of the breakdown: (a) Physical Pillar. The Strait of Hormuz has been practically blocked since February 28, 2026: more than 20% of global oil traffic and 25% of…

mai 4, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

En chiffres

Closure of the straits (Malacca/Hormuz). Systemic famine scenario 2026-2028 : in the French context.

Analysis of signals from Steelldy Engine G (maritime AIS), Steelldy Engine F (fertilizer blockages), Steelldy Engine M (semantic panic), and Steelldy Engine O (strait closure probabilities) shows exceptional statistical convergence. Michael Yon's analysis (Feb-Apr 2026) regarding prolonged Strait of Hormuz closure and imminent Malacca Strait threats is now a 78% market reality (95% CI: 72–84%),…

mai 2, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

Alphractal On-Chain Price Dynamics: Mapping Realized Prices

Visual Data Red arrow: resistance cluster at $78,000–$80,000 (confluence of Realized Price, True Market Mean Price, Active Realized Price, Investor Price, STH Realized Price). Green arrow: structural support cluster at $45,000–$50,000 (LTH Realized Price, CVDD, Delta Price, Average Price). The current price is positioned at the level of the red arrow, testing the…

mai 2, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

Bitcoin checkonchain STHCB. The Capitulation Line at 78,700 USD

The STH Cost Basis (STHCB), a key indicator for Short-Term Holders, has sharply declined from over $100,000 in January 2026 to approximately $78,700 in May 2026. The current spot price trades below this STHCB, which recently rejected an upward test. This decline signals ongoing capitulation among recent buyers, as "weak hands" sell into dips, resetting…

mai 2, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Analyse de marché

Market Mania: US Stock Market Cap Hits 252% of GDP, Far Exceeding 1929 Levels

As of April 30, 2026, the Buffett Ratio (Wilshire 5000 / annualized nominal GDP) reached 227%, with a peak high of 232.6% in March. Paul Tudor Jones uses an expanded measure (total market capitalization / GDP) amounting to approximately 252%, incorporating foreign companies listed in the US and tokenized real assets. This ratio, adjusted for…

mai 1, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac