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Close-up of two golden Bitcoin coins on a tablet screen displaying financial data.
Cryptos

Structural risk of private banking blockchains on Bitcoin and the crypto ecosystem

https://www.steelldy-indices.com JPMorgan's note from July 9, 2026 identifies a structural threat to Bitcoin and public cryptocurrencies: the rapid expansion of private and permissioned blockchains driven by commercial banks (Kinexys, JPM Coin, tokenized deposits, CBDCs). This trend, supported by settlement volumes exceeding $4 trillion on Kinexys, could siphon institutional demand for public digital assets by offering…
07/13/20260Comments

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Smartphone displaying trading app with Bitcoin coins on a dark surface.
Cryptos

Bitcoin Struggles Near $66,000 Amidst Extreme Fear: What’s Next?

Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) trades at approximately $65,400–66,000, down ~0.8% in the observed session, within a recent consolidation range post a relief bounce from sub-$60k lows earlier in June 2026. The provided chart confirms a 1H/4H structure with MA5/10/20 clustering near $66,200–66,300, recent rejection at $67,255 highs, and downside probe the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone around…
06/17/20260Comments

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A dynamic image showcasing Bitcoin, credit cards, and financial apps for investment enthusiasts.
Cryptos

Construction of a Conditional Hedge via MNQ Micro E-mini Nasdaq Short. Calibration on BTC Beta=0.45

This study details an advanced quantitative modeling of a conditional hedge for a crypto-exposed portfolio, employing Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 (MNQ) futures contracts as the hedging instrument. The calibration is based on a dynamic conditional beta of BTC/Nasdaq at 0.45, estimated using a multivariate DCC-GARCH(1,1) model with Markov regime switching. Key Findings: ¤ Minimum Variance Hedge…
06/06/20260Comments

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Cryptos

Analysis of the paradigmatic transition towards a “Digital Bretton Woods” and quantitative modeling of the risks/returns of Real World Asset (RWA) Tokenization

We are not in a classic crypto cycle; we are witnessing the commoditization of the settlement layer. Bretton Woods I (1944) used a gold-pegged dollar settled via correspondent banks (SWIFT/CHIPS). The current regime (post-1971) relies on the petrodollar and sovereign debt. Bretton Woods 2.0 is based on a Dual Pillar Regime: 1. Physical Pillar…
05/18/20260Comments

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Carbon Credit MarketCarbon Credit Market Digitalisation

Taxonomy and Characterization of Carbon Credit Tokens (CCTs)

1.1 Direct Ownership Tokens 1.1.1 On-chain Representation of Carbon Credits Held in Custody by the Investor Direct ownership tokens constitute the most fundamental form of carbon credit tokenization, representing a digital claim on a physical carbon credit held in custody by an accredited custodian. This structure ensures a one-to-one correspondence between the issued token and…
05/15/20260Comments

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Cryptos

Microstructure interne du ratio ETH/BTC

ETH/BTC est le prix relatif de deux systèmes distribués en concurrence. Ses déterminants principaux sont : Prime de contrat intelligent : capitalisation sur l’écosystème DeFi et les dApps. Concurrence des "ETH Killers" : Solana, Avalanche, Sui, Aptos, etc., qui érodent la part de marché d’Ethereum. Mécanisme de destruction EIP‑1559 et frais de gaz : l’activité réseau alimente l’accumulation…
05/13/20260Comments

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