SYNTHÈSE EXÉCUTIVE : LA MORT DU PARADIGME BULLE/NON-BULLE
L'annonce d'OpenAI d'investissements massifs ($1.4T/30GW d'ici fin 2025) a définitivement anéanti le débat bulle/non-bulle, instaurant un régime d'interdépendance critique. Ce "Sam's Spending" est un point d'inflexion structurel majeur. Le changement de paradigme est noté très haut, avec une forte probabilité de permanence.
Trois méta-transformations sont observées…
This analysis causally links macro-geopolitics (de-dollarization) to micro-speculation (AI bubble) and our investment thesis (Fed Pivot). The analysis of the text and image (de-dollarization) confirms that the financial environment is not stable, but its fragility is the driver of our opportunity.
MACRO & FINANCIAL ANALYSIS: DEDOLLARIZATION, DRIVER OF THE AI PIVOT AND BUBBLE
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I. MACRO DIAGNOSIS: THE EUPHORIA BUBBLE IS QUANTIFIED
The chart and data confirm that the phrase "this time it's different" is, as historian Kindleberger documented, the peak signal of a speculative mania.
1. The Shiller Indicator (CAPE): The Sword of Damocles
• The Fact: The CAPE ratio (Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings Ratio) is…
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