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Tag: 2026

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Analyse de marché

The Silver crash on February 12, 2026

On February 12, 2026, the publication of a Kremlin memorandum suggesting Russia might return to US dollar settlements triggered a severe, rapid sell-off in precious metals, with silver futures dropping 9.2% and gold shedding 2.53% within 47 minutes. This event, classified by Steelldy risk engine as an extreme geopolitical repricing event (score 91/100), signaled…

février 13, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Economie

Assessment of the Systemic Fragility of European G-SIBs (BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank, Santander) in the Face of Shocks

The post-crisis analysis of January 30, 2026, via the Minsky Moment Detector, reveals that the European banking system has reached a critical tipping point. This event is caused by the convergence of the collapse of the Silver, the unwinding of the Yen Carry Trade, and the fall in Tech stocks, generating a shock of an…

février 3, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac

Cryptos

The Bearish synchronization on the global markets of January 30, 2026. The DeFi Volatility Amplifier and Crypto-FX Beta Modeling

Our analysis confirms the DeFi amplifier hypothesis: the decentralized finance system functions as a pro-cyclical leverage multiplier, amplifying an FX shock (JPY appreciation) into a crypto liquidity crisis with contagion to traditional markets. The observed correlation, a BTC/USDJPY beta of -3.5x, reveals a three-step transmission mechanism: the unwinding of the carry trade, the collapse of…

février 3, 20260Comments

ByOleg Turceac