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Tag: VaR (Value at Risk)

Étude de la dynamique du VIX et seuils d’intervention de la Réserve Fédérale (Fed). Séance du 2 Mars 2026

La mécanique du "FED PUT" Le franchissement du "point de rupture" (Systemic Breaking Point) ne dépend pas uniquement du niveau absolu de l'indice de volatilité (VIX), mais de la vitesse de sa dérivée seconde (VIX) et de l'assèchement concomitant de la liquidité du carnet d'ordres (Market Depth). À l'ouverture de la session de New…

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Settlement of the XAG delivery default. Confrontation of « Cash Settlement » vs « Hyper-Margining » scenarios

The core issue is managing a liquidity discontinuity at the CME Group, as the existence of an imbalance is no longer in question. The objection regarding "Hyper-Margining" (Prime de Marge) is valid in a functioning market, but as of 08:45 EST, order book analysis by Steelldy Modules indicates a Liquidity Trap. The CME faces a…

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BOJ Rate Hike: What’s Left of the 40% Yield Carry Trade?

The yen carry trade relies on exploiting the interest rate differential between Japan (low) and foreign countries (high), adjusted by the exchange rate variation ROI_Carry (r_foreign - r_domestic) - ΔS_fx + α(Leverage) - β(Costs). Historically, this model has generated annualized returns of about 35-40% due to an average favorable spread of 4.40% and a leverage…

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