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Tag: Value at Risk (VaR)

HomeTous les articlesTag: Value at Risk (VaR)

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Analyse de marché

Analyse de marché

Economie

Red Alert: A dovish Fed could trigger a $2 trillion « Unwind » in a few weeks

The amplification mechanism relies on the scissors effect between accommodative US monetary policy (Fed rate cuts of -25 to -50 bps towards 2026) and a tightening by the Bank of Japan (+25 to +75 bps). This divergence, exacerbated by a 10x leverage for hedge funds, leads to a compression of the carry trade spread, making…

11 heures ago0Comments

Analyse de marché

Analyse de marché Cryptos

Economie

MSTR is a tail risk, not a systemic risk

"MSTR is a leveraged call option on BTC with a 270% premium. It’s an asymmetric bet for speculators, not a core holding. If it blows up, it hurts those involved, but it won’t crash the S&P 500." Analysis of MicroStrategy (MSTR) as a “Call Option” Disguised as a Stock, with extreme Tail Risk. ❶ The stock…

septembre 30, 20250Comments