The U.S. Treasury's General License U (issued March 20, 2026) is explicitly designed to exert downward pressure on oil prices by flooding the market with additional supply at a time when prices have surged over 50% since the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran began in late February.
Why It Targets Prices
The license authorizes the…
The US Treasury issued a temporary waiver on restrictions for certain stranded Russian oil shipments, announced around March 12-13, 2026, to address global supply disruptions amid escalating tensions with Iran.
This 30-day exemption allows countries to purchase and transport Russian crude and petroleum products that were loaded onto ships as of March 12, 2026, with…
Europe has hit a mathematical wall: the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz has removed 5 to 7 million barrels per day (b/d) from the market. Replacement by American Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) cannot cover this deficit due to the physical limits of regasification capacities. Under these conditions, the return of Russian oil and gas…
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