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Tag: JPY appreciation

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The Bearish synchronization on the global markets of January 30, 2026. The DeFi Volatility Amplifier and Crypto-FX Beta Modeling

Our analysis confirms the DeFi amplifier hypothesis: the decentralized finance system functions as a pro-cyclical leverage multiplier, amplifying an FX shock (JPY appreciation) into a crypto liquidity crisis with contagion to traditional markets. The observed correlation, a BTC/USDJPY beta of -3.5x, reveals a three-step transmission mechanism: the unwinding of the carry trade, the collapse of…

février 3, 20260Comments

Analyse de marché

Analyse de marché

Economie

Red Alert: A dovish Fed could trigger a $2 trillion « Unwind » in a few weeks

The amplification mechanism relies on the scissors effect between accommodative US monetary policy (Fed rate cuts of -25 to -50 bps towards 2026) and a tightening by the Bank of Japan (+25 to +75 bps). This divergence, exacerbated by a 10x leverage for hedge funds, leads to a compression of the carry trade spread, making…

novembre 25, 20250Comments