Historical Context: The Great Treasury Unwind
China's US Treasury holdings have undergone 'systematic liquidation' over 12+ years:
PeriodHoldings ($B)Δ vs PeakDriversMarket ImpactNov 2013 (Peak)$1,320—Accumulation phase: China recycles trade surplus into TreasuriesNone (buying)2014-2016$1,250-5.3%First diversification: Silk Road infrastructure, A-shares supportMinimal2017-2019$1,120-15.2%Trade War I: Trump tariffs, retaliation via Treasury sales10Y yield +50bp2020-2022$980-25.8%COVID, SWIFT weaponization fears (Russia precedent)Offset by…
Is the era of paper gold over?
The massive sell-off that shook the precious metals markets last week was not a standard correction, but a planned "liquidity event" and a "crash," according to mining magnate Frank Giustra, who warns that the 50-year dominance of "paper gold" prices is coming to a chaotic end. …
Economie