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Toute l’actualité économique et financière en France et dans le monde. Vidéos, analyses, interviews.

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Economie

Toute l'actualité économique et financière en France et dans le monde. Vidéos, analyses, interviews.

Ray Dalio Ups Gold Allocation Forecast Amid Dollar Devaluation and Global Crisis Fears

Gold Is Moving Back to the Center of Finance By Peter Reagan Gold is reasserting itself in finance, moving from an "alternative asset" category to a core holding, driven by recent economic instability. Historically, institutional investors focused mainly on corporate profits and debt, viewing gold skeptically. However, the pandemic-era lockdowns, subsequent inflation, and the significant…

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The convergence of physical, behavioral, and microstructural signals confirms that Europe, and particularly France, has entered a regime of asynchronous systemic energy shortage

The convergence of physical, behavioral, and microstructural signals confirms that Europe, and particularly France, has entered a regime of asynchronous systemic energy shortage. The three pillars of the breakdown: (a) Physical Pillar. The Strait of Hormuz has been practically blocked since February 28, 2026: more than 20% of global oil traffic and 25% of…

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Closure of the straits (Malacca/Hormuz). Systemic famine scenario 2026-2028 : in the French context.

Analysis of signals from Steelldy Engine G (maritime AIS), Steelldy Engine F (fertilizer blockages), Steelldy Engine M (semantic panic), and Steelldy Engine O (strait closure probabilities) shows exceptional statistical convergence. Michael Yon's analysis (Feb-Apr 2026) regarding prolonged Strait of Hormuz closure and imminent Malacca Strait threats is now a 78% market reality (95% CI: 72–84%),…

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Cartel collapse and depressive supply shock. The withdrawal of Saudi Arabia and the UAE of OPEC/OPEC+

The simultaneous withdrawal declaration of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates from OPEC and OPEC+ (April 28-29, 2026) constitutes the most severe institutional rupture in the oil market since 1985-1986. This study demonstrates that this exit is not a purely bearish signal but rather the prelude to a two-speed structural dislocation: …

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Evaluation of Kepler Cheuvreux’s Asset Management Methodology (PE/Private Credit Integration via Ellipsis AM)

Kepler Cheuvreux has undergone a major strategic transformation since 2020. The integration of Ellipsis AM (Private Equity focused on Small/Mid-Caps) along with the approval of a Private Credit arm (Direct Lending/Structured Credit) of €12 Billion (AUM) currently underway (Run-Rate) represents one of the most successful examples of capital arbitrage and institutional leverage in Europe. …

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Premium Shockwave: War-Risk Hikes Trigger Global Food and Fuel Shortages

Catherine Austin Fitts, in an interview clip, asserts that Lloyd's of London insurance decisions by the City of London effectively shut down shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, creating global energy shortages and famine conditions rather than direct Iranian blockade. Amid March 2026 Iran conflict escalation, Lloyd's dramatically hiked war-risk premiums for Gulf tankers, causing…

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