Skip to content Skip to sidebar Skip to footer

Blog Standard

Crypto’s Fragile Rally at $77K. The High-Stakes Link Between AI Systemic Risk and Token Speculation

Contagion in AI financing cannot be understood through valuation levels or even growth rates. It must be understood through the dependency structure of counterparties and the second derivative of infrastructure spending. Our cross-analysis shows: ¤ The central risk is not the disappearance of AI demand, but the existence of a correlation of one…

Read more

Detailed view of fiber optic patch cables connecting to a blue patch panel in a data center.

Private credit funds face elevated risks in 2026 from two distinct but overlapping AI-related channels

Private credit funds face significant 2026 risks from two AI-related channels: disruption to software borrowers and demand shortfalls in AI infrastructure. These are compounded by liquidity mismatches, sector concentration, and ties to insurers and pensions. Non-bank direct lending, via vehicles like BDCs, has heavily expanded into both areas, heightening vulnerability. Two Primary AI-Related Risk…

Read more

Steel framework cabinets housing servers networking devices and cables in contemporary equipped data center

SPV (special purpose vehicle) off-balance-sheet structures are a core financing tool in the AI data-center buildout

They allow hyperscalers to expand capacity rapidly while keeping the bulk of associated debt off their consolidated balance sheets, converting what would be large capital expenditures into multi-year operating leases or offtake commitments. This creates meaningful “shadow” leverage and interconnected risks. How the Structures Typically Work A dedicated vehicle (SPV, joint venture, or variable…

Read more

SSSI. The quantitative and microstructural architecture of stablecoin risk

Executive Summary With over $315 billion in daily trading volume, stablecoins have become the systemic plumbing of programmable finance. Yet, the Basel Committee (BIS) and the World Economic Forum (WEF) highlight a critical flaw: the lack of quantitative tools capable of measuring counterparty risk in real time. Traditional approaches rely on static snapshots (monthly attestations)…

Read more

A vibrant abstract image featuring dynamic colors and intricate patterns, perfect for modern art enthusiasts.

How Circular Financing in AI Creates Hidden Risks Beneath a Boom

Circular financing in the AI sector refers to a tightly interlinked system of equity investments, compute commitments, guarantees, and off-balance-sheet structures among chipmakers, hyperscalers, AI labs, and data-center operators. Money and obligations circulate among a small group of counterparties, accelerating infrastructure buildout while amplifying downside risks if end-user monetization falls short. How It Works.…

Read more

Stunning abstract art featuring dynamic blue and coral colors with fluid patterns.

BIS Warns: AI Spending Spree Echoes Past Market Manias and Recessions

AI bubble risks are elevated as of mid-to-late 2026, driven by an unprecedented capital expenditure boom outpacing near-term monetization, high valuations, circular financing, and competitive pressure from low-cost Chinese open models. Official warnings from institutions like the Bank for International Settlements highlight parallels to historical overinvestment cycles, while real technological progress and strong current revenues…

Read more

Crypto Short Squeeze

Bitcoin surged to $76,800-$77,600, gaining 6-8% in 24 hours and 20% for the week. The market saw over $4 billion in 24-hour liquidations, marking the most violent short squeeze of 2026. Combined BTC/ETH ETF inflows exceeded $800 million, indicating massive institutional entries. The funding rate shifted from negative to positive, signaling a return of long…

Read more

ScoreGex. De l’AVM local à l’oracle de rente institutionnel

"L'immobilier tokenisé est le segment le plus difficile à mesurer", c'est exactement le vide que ScoreGex peut remplir. Le marché RWA tokenisé a atteint 38,2 Md USD de valeur distribuée on-chain pour 345,3 Md USD d'actifs sous-jacents référencés. L'immobilier tokenisé représente moins de 6 % du total (~2 Md USD), alors que l'immobilier mondial pèse ~450 000 Md USD. Cette asymétrie n'est…

Read more