Skip to content Skip to sidebar Skip to footer

Blog Standard

HomeBlog Standard
Detailed financial chart showing a downward trend, ideal for economics and stock market analysis.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché En chiffresEn chiffres MarketsMarkets

The Monte Carlo analysis of JPY carry trade

The Monte Carlo analysis of JPY carry trade unwind uses a Merton Jump-Diffusion model to simulate USD/JPY dynamics over a 90-day horizon, capturing both continuous exchange rate movements and sudden discontinuities from forced position closures. The model incorporates calibrated parameters including a spot rate of 158.5, stressed volatility ranging from 9% to 18%, and jump…
7 hours ago0Comments

Read more

Abstract view of a subway tunnel with motion blur and light streaks.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

Global Systemic Convergence of the 7 Vectors (December 2025). Reassessment and Recalibration as of August 10, 2026

The original thesis from December 6-13, 2025, predicting a catastrophic systemic event driven by a Fed-BOJ shock and a $11.5 trillion carry trade unwind within 90 days, was not validated in its magnitude or timing. Observed reality shows USD/JPY peaked around 164 in late July 2026 after coordinated intervention, now near 158. The BOJ hiked…
14 hours ago0Comments

Read more

Intricate futuristic circuit board with geometric patterns in teal and gray tones.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets

Profitability and margin structure. Quantified comparison of SpaceX (Q2 2026) vs hyperscaler models (AWS, Azure/Microsoft Cloud, Google Cloud, Meta AI infrastructure).

https://www.steelldy-indices.com SpaceX has a gross margin of 55.3%, but negative operating and net margins (-1.8% and -6.9%). Only Starlink connectivity is profitable (~+$1.66B OI), while Space and AI segments are loss-making. AWS boasts a 39.4% operating margin (+650 bps YoY), generating ~60% of Amazon's consolidated OI from ~21% of revenue. Microsoft Cloud's gross margin is…
20 hours ago0Comments

Read more

A satellite orbits Earth, showcasing a stunning blue ocean and continents from space.
En chiffresEn chiffres MarketsMarkets

Structured Quantitative Financial Analysis of SpaceX. Consolidated Accounts for Q2 2026 (period ended June 30, 2026)

Revenue decomposition and growth dynamics for Q2 FY26 Consolidated revenue reached 7,814, representing a 91.94% year-over-year increase from 4,071. The total revenue growth of 3,743 is driven by AI compute capacity rental (approx. +1,880, 50.2% of the increase), Starlink Connectivity (approx. +1,700, 45.4%), and Space Launch & other (residual +163). Key margins for Q2 FY26:…
5 days ago0Comments

Read more

Aerial view of a snow-covered quarry in Bewerley, North Yorkshire, England during winter.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché Economie circulaireEconomie circulaire MarketsMarkets

Dr. Copper & Global Recession Risk

Executive Summary Copper ("Dr. Copper") remains a useful leading indicator of global industrial activity due to its ubiquitous use (power grids, construction, automotive, electronics, data centers). Futures are currently trading above $6.50/lb (COMEX), up about 30% year-over-year, and are holding above the 50- and 200-day moving averages. The metal formed a trough before equity markets…
08/04/20260Comments

Read more