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Agentic AI, robotics, biotech (MANBRIC) & smart cities: capital shifts from software to physical.

Thesis. The 2026 AI cycle shifts from conversational models to "digital workers" (agents) and physical AI (robots, driving, inspection); value migrates from the model layer to operational integration and automated real assets, converging directly with smart cities and tokenizable infrastructure. Key Data. ~71% of companies are expected to integrate AI agents into key functions…

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Black and white image highlighting a 20 euro bill in a cash register, capturing financial concepts.

MiCA × ISO 20022: The Dual Plumbing Reshaping European Finance

Thesis. Two "invisible" projects converge in 2026: the completion of the licensed perimeter under MiCA (crypto) and the ISO 20022 mandate for structured addresses (payments). Together, they shape the compliance-execution layer of European programmable finance. Key data. MiCA: ART/EMT applicable since 30/06/2024; CASP since 30/12/2024; end of grandfathering on 01/07/2026 (some states earlier: Germany/Ireland…

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Detailed view of brown coffee beans being roasted in a steel machine, capturing the industrial process.

Commodities & ESG taxonomy: real returns in a world of real assets

Thesis. Raw materials are regaining a core portfolio role (hedging a multipolar world and AI electrification), while European ESG shifts from an obligation-based regime to a market-driven one, less reporting, more pricing. Key Data. January 2026 records: gold ~$5,405/oz (2025 annual average: $3,431, +44%), silver >$121/oz, LME copper $13,238/t. Citi scenarios (Q3 2026): Brent…

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Analyzing financial charts with a calculator and chocolate coins.

Gold  against stocks

Gold was indeed a high-Sharpe asset during certain windows from 2025 to early 2026, and long-term bonds did under perform. However, as of September 7, 2026, gold does not "beat tech stocks" over 12 months. NVDA and the S&P have higher TTM returns than those shown in the table. The illustrative recalibration (TTM window,…

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The Perfect Storm: Oil’s Spike, Japan’s Debt Shock, and Nvidia’s Quiet Bond Exit

Oil prices surged sharply after the US announced new strikes on southern Iran. Brent crude exceeded $92 per barrel, while WTI approached $90. Yields on 30-year Japanese government bonds (JGBs) surpassed 4.18%, and Nvidia exited the corporate bond market. How does this affect gold? Several explosions were reported near Bandar Abbas, Qeshm, and the Strait…

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Rising Demand for Direct Ownership of Physical Gold

The Financial Times reports a marked shift among wealthy investors toward direct ownership of physical gold and secure, individually allocated storage. In 2026, purchases by this group have surged to record levels, signaling a retreat from electronic exposure in favor of tangible assets. Industry observers highlight capacity constraints across premier vault facilities. London dealer Sharps…

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A collection of shining gold bars and coins symbolizing wealth and investment.

Structural Shifts in Central Bank Demand Are Redefining Gold’s Support Levels

According to Société Générale, the time has come to view gold optimistically again, as they observe a gradual recovery after months of correction. In a recent market assessment, analysts stated the precious metal looks attractive again, despite trimming their gold positions in the first half of the year. Gold recently rebounded to around $2,450 after…

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