https://www.steelldy-indices.com
The semiconductor memory industry (MU/Samsung/SK Hynix oligopoly controlling >95% of DRAM/HBM) is in a structural supercycle driven by AI data center demand (hyperscalers investing over $300 billion by 2026). Unlike past cycles (2001, 2008, 2013) dominated by PCs and smartphones, current demand is nonlinear, scaling with LLM size and dataset complexity. Sunk costs from…
https://www.steelldy-indices.com
The yield on the French 30-year OAT bond reached ~4.73% on July 22, 2026, the highest level since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and Eurozone Debt Crisis. This level is identified as a critical systemic threshold, crossing the 4.50-4.69% zone identified by GARCH-X Markov-switching and DSGE models calibrated on 2000-2026 data.
The yield…
https://www.steelldy-indices.com
The silver deficit is intensifying, with demand exceeding supply for the sixth consecutive year. According to the Silver Institute, the global market is expected to face a supply deficit of 46.3 million ounces in 2026, bringing the total deficit since 2021 to a staggering 762.1 million ounces. This persistent shortage is notable despite a…
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The deficit in silver supply is expected to persist after 2026, though its intensity may gradually diminish. @METALOCUS forecasts a slow reduction of the imbalance, but warns that a return to a sustainable surplus would require an extremely rare combination of supply growth and demand decline.
Silver mining, which provides the vast majority of…
https://www.steelldy-indices.com
The TRY is no longer a currency; it is an Exotic Option on Credibility. Traditional analysis (GDP, balance of payments) is obsolete. Our framework, based on M. theory and signal processing in "quantitative finance," reclassifies the Turkish Lira not as a currency subject to depreciation, but as a perpetual down-and-out barrier option on the…
https://www.steelldy-indices.com
Executive Summary
The July 14, 2026 announcement of a $1 billion vehicle linking IM8 (co-founded by David Beckham & Danny Yeung, subsidiary of Prenetics NASDAQ:PRE) to General Catalyst's Customer Value Fund (CVF) is not merely a marketing endorsement or a classic dilutive fundraising. It represents a major structural innovation: the creation of an implicit…
https://www.steelldy-indices.com
Over several weeks, financial markets have gradually become convinced that the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz is in the past. Each encouraging statement from the White House is immediately interpreted as evidence that maritime shipping is returning to normal. Algorithms sell oil, short positions strengthen, and there is a consensus that the worst…
https://scoregex.streamlit.app
On 20 July 2026, the KOSPI experienced a sharp deleveraging event, with the index falling over 4% intraday to close near 6,516. Key stocks Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix dropped ~4.3% and ~4.2% respectively, driven by structural concentration risk in AI/HBM memory, leveraged product amplification, policy tightening by the Bank of Korea, and margin-call…
Fidelity predicts the return of a bull market for gold in 2027. According to Ian Samson, manager of multi-asset portfolios at Fidelity International, the key trends that drove gold to an all-time high of $5,600 earlier this year remain intact, and the precious metal will resume its bull market in 2027, justifying a shift from…
https://www.steelldy-indices.com
This article applies the tools of game theory to the strategic analysis of the global memory oligopoly. By modeling the interactions between Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix as a three-player dynamic game, we identify Nash equilibria, potential tipping points, and the probabilities associated with each strategic scenario. This formal approach complements the quantitative models…
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