In a few months, in 2027, a cross-border payment whose beneficiary address is entered in free text will be rejected by the SWIFT network. Not delayed: rejected, before even reaching the first bank in the chain. SEPA will follow the next day, in 2027. This deadline, almost unnoticed by the general public, is in fact…
The market is no longer in capitulation (June–July, Bitcoin below $60–63k) nor in a confirmed breakout. It is in an institutional range regime after an August rally (~+20–25% on BTC since summer lows) and repeated failure below $82,000. Alts have outperformed BTC over 30 days (XRP / Solana ~+35–36%, Ethereum ~+30%, BTC ~+21%), then leverage…
Beyond the Controversy: How Schmidt’s 2024 Forecasts on AI Agents and NVIDIA Are Playing Out in 2026
Eric Schmidt’s August 2024 appearance at Stanford was an informal classroom conversation with economist Erik Brynjolfsson in the course “The Age of AI” (ECON295/CS323). Stanford posted the video, it circulated quickly, then was set to private after Schmidt asked for its removal. The episode became famous less for its technical content than for two unfiltered…
~30-35 billion USD in AUM by mid-2026 (versus ~8 billion USD in January 2024), representing ~75% year-over-year growth, driven by tokenized treasuries (~15 billion USD, +100%/year), private credit (~10-12 billion USD), alternative funds (~2-3 billion USD), and commodities (~1.5 billion USD). The determinant is no longer narrative but structural: the product paradigm has shifted from…
$314.68B as of 21/06/2026 (382 issuers, DefiLlama), ~$323B at all-time high in May 2026, with remarkable resilience during a crypto bear market of -48%. Concentration: USDT $186.35B (59.22%) and USDC ~$77B = 83.02% of the market. USDC: +28% outstanding in Q1 2026, on-chain volume +263% to $21,500B.
The market processed >$33,000B in on-chain transactions…
Bitcoin remains a reserve asset with a structure showing recovery from $58-62k, rejection under $81-86k, and consolidation around $77k. NUPL is below euphoria, SOPR near 1 (no capitulation or aggressive distribution), and 69% of supply is in profit—enough for range-top selling but insufficient for a blow-off. Bullish invalidation: weekly close below $72k or 5 days…
Title: The tokenized real-world asset market has fundamentally changed. It's no longer a bet on token appreciation: it has become a cash flow engine, rents, interest, coupons distributed automatically via smart contract. Analysis of a paradigm shift. In 2021, tokenization evoked speculative art NFTs. In August 2026, it evokes something else: ~$34.5 billion in tokenized…
In September 2026, three key facts emerge. The ECB launches Pontes on September 21, enabling settlement of DLT transactions in central bank money in Europe. Verified via STEEin : Pontes supports near-term market needs by settling euro-denominated wholesale transactions on DLT platforms against central bank money. A pilot is expected by end of Q3 2026.…
The framework is a two-regime Markov model with observable states, not a calibrated HMM
Regime 1 (Liquidity risk-on) is indicated by positive 5-day net $BTC / $ETH ETF flows, declining $DXY, funding below 0.03% per 8 hours, and BTC above 77.1k then 81.3k.
It implies overweighting ETH/ $SOL relative to BTC, with only reduced $ZEC…