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Iconic Euro sculpture with modern skyscrapers in Frankfurt, Germany showcasing the financial district.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets
Continued rate hikes. ECB towards 3.75%. Fed towards 5.75% by end of 2026
These projections come from a complete hybrid Monte Carlo simulation (incorporating coupled stochastic processes, embedded HMM regime-switching, an affine term structure for rates, and Poisson jumps for geopolitical shocks), calibrated on Steelldy Risk Engine 12.4 data (backtests 1971-2026), ECB staff projections from June 2026, and current macro flows (Bund 10Y ≈ 2.86-2.90%, ECB deposit rate…
7 hours ago0Comments
Dynamic forex trading concept with currency symbols and candlestick chart illuminated on screen.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets
Monetary illusion amid rising interest rates against persistent inflationary risks
The rise in key interest rates (ECB deposit facility at 2.25% as of June 17, 2026, following a +25 bps increase) mechanically raises the nominal yield of new sovereign bonds and monetary instruments (€STR, deposits). For a hold-to-maturity investor, this generates a stable nominal carry. However, our decomposition using Steelldy Risk Engine 12.4 (factor decomposition,…
9 hours ago0Comments
Close-up of gold bars on Thai baht banknotes, symbolizing wealth and prosperity.
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets
Gold vs. Bonds: As Central Banks Hike Rates, Investors Ditch the Yellow Metal for Yield
Gold is currently weakening despite inflation, due to several key factors. In May, Germany’s inflation rate was surprisingly moderate at 2.6% annually, significantly lower than the eurozone’s 3.2%. This deviation from the European trend was primarily driven by a temporary fuel subsidy introduced by the German government, which reduced gasoline and diesel prices. However, this…
11 hours ago0Comments
From above ten dollar banknote with inscription and United States treasury building placed on table
Analyse de marchéAnalyse de marché MarketsMarkets
Foreign state and institutional holdings of US Treasuries since the escalation of the Iranian conflict
We use exclusively verifiable public data, collected and processed by our Steelldy Risk Engine 3.4 infrastructure and Bloomberg Intelligence modules: - Treasury International Capital (TIC): Monthly and annual reports, raw and adjusted data for valuation and hedging effects, broken down by country and maturity (source: Treasury.gov). - Official reserve flows: IMF COFER (Currency…
1 day ago0Comments
Cryptos Tech
Formalization, calibration, and integration of PII 1.0 into a risk framework for stablecoin transparency, per BIS June 23, 2026 alert
The press release from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) acknowledges that the transparency of stablecoin ledgers exposes bank positions to the entire market, dismantling the historical information asymmetry. To quantify this phenomenon and guide investment decisions as well as technological deployment, we have constructed the Proprietary Integrity Index 1.0 (PII 1.0), a normalized composite…
1 day ago0Comments
Two professionals analyze stock market graphs with a focus on finance and data trends.
Economic studies
Risk & Fiscal Robustness in Alternative Investment Strategies: An Integrated Framework for Tax-Aware Portfolio Optimization
This paper examines the integration of advanced risk management techniques with sophisticated tax optimization strategies in alternative investment portfolios. We propose a comprehensive framework combining A. tail risk analytics with Big Four accounting firm structuring methodologies, enhanced by Monte Carlo simulations for tax provisioning volatility assessment. Our empirical analysis demonstrates that the implementation of Special…
4 days ago0Comments
ESG Data ServicesESG Data Services
Quantum-Classical Hybrid Optimization framework for after-tax portfolio allocation under regime constraints
The Quantum-Classical Hybrid Optimization framework for after-tax portfolio allocation under regime constraints integrates quantum variational algorithms (e.g., QAOA, VQE, Hybrid HHL++) with classical solvers (convex optimization, MPC) to solve high-dimensional, non-convex problems involving tax-aware objectives, Markov-switching regimes (market, volatility, regulatory/tax), counterparty/basis risks, and fiscal uncertainty in synthetic carbon credit tokens. This hybrid approach addresses the…
4 days ago0Comments
Professional presenting detailed analytics on European map during office meeting.
Economic studies
GDPR’s Hidden Cost: How Data Regulation Collapsed the Market for Personal Information
A meta-analysis of 127 peer-reviewed studies (2000-2024) on behavioral economics, personal data valuation, prediction markets, surveillance capitalism, and universal basic income (UBI) with data was conducted. The analysis of key studies reveals several critical findings. Study 1 (Acquisti, Taylor, Wagman, 2020) found that the average willingness-to-accept (WTA) for sharing continuous GPS location data is…
4 days ago0Comments