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Cryptos
BoJ Rate Hike Weakens Yen transmission, Damping Bitcoin Volatility
The transmission mechanism Yen strength → USD/JPY depreciation → yen carry trade deleveraging → global liquidity contraction → BTC risk-asset beta spike (~2–3x) remains empirically robust. However, it is significantly attenuated following the BoJ’s fully delivered and well-telegraphed 25 bps hike to 1.0% (highest since 1995) on 16 June 2026. Speculative net-short JPY positions elevated…
2 heures ago0Comments
A man analyzes cryptocurrency graphs on a touchscreen monitor in a modern office setting.
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State and Evolution of the SpaceX Stock Price (SPCX) as of June 13, 2026 – Complete Post-IPO Analysis with Updated Monte Carlo Simulation
Executive Summary SpaceX (SPCX) closed its first week of trading on June 13, 2026, at $158.40 (+17.3% since the IPO at $135), after a peak of $176.52 on day 1. Market capitalization: ~$2.18 trillion. Exceptional cumulative volume (>2.8 billion shares). The stock shows an implied annualized volatility of 68-82%, with strong retail participation…
1 jour ago0Comments
Low angle of modern rocket taking off into cloudless sky during beautiful sunset over space factory
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Retail Participation at Peak Valuations in IPOs: Negative Convexity, Herding Dynamics, and Predictive Power for Market Corrections – Empirical Evidence, Econometric Framework, and Implications for SpaceX IPO
Executive Summary High retail investor participation in IPOs at stretched valuations generates negative convexity in the broader equity market: initial positive gamma from FOMO-driven buying (short-term momentum) reverses into amplified downside convexity upon sentiment shift, due to herding, low information processing, and liquidity withdrawal. Historical data confirm that elevated retail flows in late-cycle IPO…
4 jours ago0Comments
Detailed view of an industrial plumbing system featuring multiple pressure gauges and steel pipes.
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Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline (TSGP) in the Context of European Disengagement from Russian Oil/Gas and Global Oil Demand Reduction: Quantitative Strategic Assessment
The Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline (TSGP) — a 4,128 km project linking Nigerian gas fields (Warri region) through Niger to Algeria’s Hassi R’Mel hub, with onward connection to European markets via existing Algerian infrastructure — represents a geostrategic diversification play for Europe amid categorical reduction of Russian fossil fuel dependence (oil imports down to <3-5% of…
5 jours ago0Comments