The immediate context involves an analysis of the New Zealand discretionary trust, Trust O|...|, focusing on the seizability of distributions and a villa in Vésenaz, financed by trust distributions. The central legal framework includes Articles 17 and 18 of the Swiss Private International Law Act, the 1985 Hague Convention, and Swiss confiscation law. The analysis…
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This week, Mike Roy reviewed two important ratio charts that help understand gold's position in its long-term bull market and where it may head next.
The first chart is the crucial long-term gold/DXY ratio. DXY itself is a ratio chart measuring the relative strength of the U.S. dollar against a basket of major…
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The Swiss Federal Tribunal's jurisprudence on foreign trusts evolved in two phases. Pre-2007, trusts were analogized to fiduciary contracts or "organized assets" under old law, offering limited recognition with high reclassification risk. Post-ratification of the Hague Convention (2007), validly constituted foreign trusts are automatically recognized, ensuring asset separation and protection from the trustee's creditors.…
The European Central Bank (@ecb ) exerts a dominant and stabilizing influence on eurozone sovereign spreads in 2026 through three main channels: the Transmission Protection Instrument (TPI) anti-fragmentation backstop (activated since 2022), the interest rate policy (25 bp hike on June 11, 2026: deposit rate at 2.25%, MRO at 2.40%), ongoing quantitative tightening (QT) and…
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The morning fixing of the 30-year French OAT yield at 4.6926% marks a "phase transition" market event. Cross-referenced with our proprietary risk engines, this level signals a critical threshold for French debt sustainability, with non-negligible probability of a self-fulfilling confidence crisis. Key findings: the 5-year implied probability of a French fiscal accident jumped from…
Central bank demand will push gold prices higher in 2026. Despite the second quarter being the worst for gold in 12 years, as a sharp rise in energy prices increased inflation expectations and created the possibility of interest rate hikes, central bank demand will help gold finish the year on a positive note, according to…
According to @BankofAmerica , speculation in the U.S. stock market has reached its highest level since 1999-2000, a period that preceded the start of the longest bull market for gold in modern history. Overvalued stocks and lagging gold are a pattern, not a mystery. On July 6, 2026, gold was around $4,160, down 3% year-to-date,…
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This study analyzes the evolution of the fiber optics industry in the context of the explosion of data centers for artificial intelligence, covering the period 2026-2031. The central thesis we defend is as follows: the transition from copper to optics in data center infrastructure is an irreversible structural trend, based on fundamental physical constraints…
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Despite acknowledging potential short-term headwinds, analysts remain broadly optimistic about gold's future price trajectory, with many expecting continued growth over the next several years. The path to $6,000 per ounce remains open, even after a correction in 2026. Central banks continue to diversify their reserves aggressively, a major driver of demand. After the escalation…
After reaching an all-time high in January 2026, gold prices continued to decline during the first half of the year, raising investor concerns about further drops and whether it is an opportune time to buy.
While short-term forecasts are uncertain, analysts are more confident in predicting gold's long-term trajectory, citing strong fundamentals despite temporary macroeconomic…
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