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Tag: capital flight

Capital Flight from the Emirates to Stablecoins – The « Digital Safe Haven » Phenomenon in the Context of Geopolitical Crisis

The integrated analysis of the Steelldy Risk Engine and Steelldy Gotham confirms that the USDC stablecoin has become the preferred vehicle for massive capital flight from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) due to three critical factors: the real estate collapse (a 31% drop), operational failures of local banks, and the regulatory superiority of USDC over…

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Private Credit Risk Assessment and Liquidity Contagion Dynamics

Morgan Stanley (MS) is experiencing a severe liquidity crisis in its Direct Lending segment. This pressure stems from three systemic factors: (i) massive redemptions by Business Development Companies (BDCs), (ii) rapid devaluation of underlying tech assets (notably due to AI disruption), and (iii) margin compression from falling benchmark rates. We anticipate a “Capital Exodus” similar…

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Recentrage du Carry Trade vers le dollars et son stablecoin comme nouveaux axes dominants

I. SYNTHÈSE EXÉCUTIVE – LA GRANDE ROTATION Le carry trade subit une réallocation massive vers le dollar américain et les stablecoins, mais avec des dynamiques distinctes et des risques accrus. Migration confirmée : Sortie JPY Carry : -$1.8T depuis septembre 2025. Entrée USD Carry : +$1.2T vers actifs dollarisés. Stablecoin Yield Farming : +$450B en institutional flows. Nouveau paradigme : le…

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