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Why OCBC Cut Its Gold Price Outlook by 15% While Other Banks Stay Bullish
On the last day of June, gold traded at $4,023 per ounce. Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC), a major Southeast Asian bank, lowered its year-end gold forecast from $5,100 to $4,360, citing rising real yields, a stronger U.S. dollar, and a more hawkish Federal Reserve policy. https://www.steelldy-indices.com The bank also reduced its silver forecast by about…
Intangible Asset Shifting (IAS) Module
The Real Asset Shifting (RAS) module (www.steelldy-indices.com) focuses on tangible assets, notably cross-border real estate. However, intangible assets (patents, trademarks, software, know-how, databases, client lists) are historically the main channel for profit shifting in multinational groups. Unlike tangible assets, intangibles do not significantly benefit from the Substance-based Income Exclusion (SBIE), are highly sensitive to transfer…
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Systèmes de Ciblage Algorithmique de la DGFiP et Stratégie de Détection
L’administration fiscale française a engagé une mutation systémique de son contrôle fiscal via le projet PILAT (Pilotage et Analyse du Contrôle) et l’outil GALAXIE, qui constituent une infrastructure algorithmique de ciblage massif. Ces outils transforment l’ensemble des données fiscales, patrimoniales et relationnelles en un score de risque attribué à chaque contribuable. Le projet PILAT, lancé…
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How High-Value Properties Slash Pillar Two Top-Up Tax Under SBIE Rules
The Substance-based Income Exclusion (SBIE) is a carve-out mechanism under Pillar Two (GloBE) that excludes part of a jurisdiction's GloBE Income before calculating top-up tax, recognizing real economic substance. Its formula for 2022 rules with 2024-2026 guidance is 5% of eligible payroll plus 5% of tangible assets' carrying value. Payroll includes eligible employee expenses,…