Oleg Turceac

Crypto Quartet Risk Map: How BTC, ETH, XRP, and SOL React to a Hawkish Fed Shift

1.1 Bitcoin. Core Collateral, Not an Alt Price sits below the self-custody cost basis shelf (~$80.8k) and under the Glassnode…

3 weeks ago

From Bonds to Bitcoin: “Debasement Trade” Powers Crypto Surge Amid $40T U.S. Debt

Bitcoin rallied 6% in the week of August 19, triggered by a yields at their highest since 2007, seen as…

3 weeks ago

Crypto’s Fragile Rally at $77K. The High-Stakes Link Between AI Systemic Risk and Token Speculation

Contagion in AI financing cannot be understood through valuation levels or even growth rates. It must be understood through the…

4 weeks ago

Private credit funds face elevated risks in 2026 from two distinct but overlapping AI-related channels

Private credit funds face significant 2026 risks from two AI-related channels: disruption to software borrowers and demand shortfalls in AI…

4 weeks ago

SPV (special purpose vehicle) off-balance-sheet structures are a core financing tool in the AI data-center buildout

They allow hyperscalers to expand capacity rapidly while keeping the bulk of associated debt off their consolidated balance sheets, converting…

4 weeks ago

The correlation of AI in the credit architecture

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY. QUANTITATIVE FINANCE Contagion in AI financing cannot be understood through valuation levels or even growth rates. It is…

4 weeks ago

SSSI. The quantitative and microstructural architecture of stablecoin risk

Executive Summary With over $315 billion in daily trading volume, stablecoins have become the systemic plumbing of programmable finance. Yet,…

4 weeks ago

How Circular Financing in AI Creates Hidden Risks Beneath a Boom

Circular financing in the AI sector refers to a tightly interlinked system of equity investments, compute commitments, guarantees, and off-balance-sheet…

4 weeks ago

BIS Warns: AI Spending Spree Echoes Past Market Manias and Recessions

AI bubble risks are elevated as of mid-to-late 2026, driven by an unprecedented capital expenditure boom outpacing near-term monetization, high…

4 weeks ago

Crypto Short Squeeze

Bitcoin surged to $76,800-$77,600, gaining 6-8% in 24 hours and 20% for the week. The market saw over $4 billion…

4 weeks ago