Gold Poised for Historic Surge: $17,250 Target as Debt Crisis Looms

6 heures ago
Oleg Turceac

Gold prices have seen aggressive growth in recent years, reaching a historic high in January before stabilizing. Many market veterans,…

State and Evolution of SpaceX Stock Price (SPCX)

8 heures ago

SpaceX's historic June 12, 2026 IPO, priced at $135/share, raised $75 billion, valuing the company at $1.77 trillion. The stock…

Retail Participation at Peak Valuations in IPOs: Negative Convexity, Herding Dynamics, and Predictive Power for Market Corrections – Empirical Evidence, Econometric Framework, and Implications for SpaceX IPO

2 jours ago

Executive Summary High retail investor participation in IPOs at stretched valuations generates negative convexity in the broader equity market: initial…

Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline (TSGP) in the Context of European Disengagement from Russian Oil/Gas and Global Oil Demand Reduction: Quantitative Strategic Assessment

3 jours ago

The Trans-Saharan Gas Pipeline (TSGP) — a 4,128 km project linking Nigerian gas fields (Warri region) through Niger to Algeria’s…

Refinery Activity and Supply Chain Integrity

3 jours ago

Executive Summary Satellite signatures combined with AIS vessel tracking and OSINT currently indicate elevated refinery activity in US/Europe amid global…

Transition Risks and Fuel Demand Reduction: Attribution to 15-Minute Smart Cities, Localized Smart Digitalized & Decarbonized Economies

3 jours ago

Executive Summary Reduction in refined fuel demand (gasoline/diesel) is primarily driven by electrification (EV penetration ~25% global new sales 2025,…

BIS/WEF Context on Transition Risks Compressing Long-Term Refining Margins: Carbon Tracker-Style Analysis and Quantitative Projections for TotalEnergies

3 jours ago

Executive Summary Transition risks under 2°C pathways (IEA NZE/APS equivalents) drive structural demand destruction for refined products, compressing refining margins…

Liquidity Trap Scenario : Gold < $4,150, Oil ~$88 Stabilization – Integration with SpaceX IPO Retail Influx and Systemic Market Crash Risks

4 jours ago

Executive Summary The posited Liquidity Trap manifests as a regime where elevated nominal asset prices (gold near recent highs, equities…

ESG/Fiscal Dimensions of Refiner Margin Squeeze: Carbon Pricing (Internal Shadow Prices) and Tax Loss Harvesting – TotalEnergies Case Study

4 jours ago

1. Carbon Pricing Framework: Explicit (EU ETS) vs. Implicit/Internal Shadow Pricing TotalEnergies employs an internal carbon price (ICP)1 or shadow…

Refiner Margin Squeeze and the 3:2:1 Crack Spread Signal: Technical Analysis with Focus on TotalEnergies (as of mid-June 2026)

4 jours ago

Executive Summary The 3:2:1 crack spread serves as a primary proxy for gross refining margins, calculated as: 3:2:1 Crack Spread=2×PGasoline (bbl)+1×PDistillate/Heating Oil (bbl)−3×PCrude (bbl)3\text{3:2:1 Crack Spread}…