oil

Bitcoin ETFs Absorb $900M Inflows as Yields Jump, Testing the August Risk-On Regime

The macro regime as of September 2, 2026, shows a strong U.S. dollar (DXY at ~99.73-99.80) and rising 10-year U.S.…

3 days ago

BIS/WEF Context on Transition Risks Compressing Long-Term Refining Margins: Carbon Tracker-Style Analysis and Quantitative Projections for TotalEnergies

Executive Summary Transition risks under 2°C pathways (IEA NZE/APS equivalents) drive structural demand destruction for refined products, compressing refining margins…

3 months ago

Liquidity Trap Scenario : Gold < $4,150, Oil ~$88 Stabilization – Integration with SpaceX IPO Retail Influx and Systemic Market Crash Risks

Executive Summary The posited Liquidity Trap manifests as a regime where elevated nominal asset prices (gold near recent highs, equities…

3 months ago

ESG/Fiscal Dimensions of Refiner Margin Squeeze: Carbon Pricing (Internal Shadow Prices) and Tax Loss Harvesting – TotalEnergies Case Study

1. Carbon Pricing Framework: Explicit (EU ETS) vs. Implicit/Internal Shadow Pricing TotalEnergies employs an internal carbon price (ICP)1 or shadow…

3 months ago

Oil Reserves Plummet: JPMorgan Warns of Looming Economic Shock as Global Buffer Vanishes

Oil reserves are rapidly depleting, eroding the world's crucial buffer against supply shocks. A concerning JP Morgan chart, discussed by…

4 months ago

Ray Dalio Ups Gold Allocation Forecast Amid Dollar Devaluation and Global Crisis Fears

Gold Is Moving Back to the Center of FinanceBy Peter ReaganGold is reasserting itself in finance, moving from an "alternative…

4 months ago

The convergence of physical, behavioral, and microstructural signals confirms that Europe, and particularly France, has entered a regime of asynchronous systemic energy shortage

The convergence of physical, behavioral, and microstructural signals confirms that Europe, and particularly France, has entered a regime of asynchronous…

4 months ago

Cartel collapse and depressive supply shock. The withdrawal of Saudi Arabia and the UAE of OPEC/OPEC+

The simultaneous withdrawal declaration of Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates from OPEC and OPEC+ (April 28-29, 2026) constitutes…

4 months ago

Premium Shockwave: War-Risk Hikes Trigger Global Food and Fuel Shortages

Catherine Austin Fitts, in an interview clip, asserts that Lloyd's of London insurance decisions by the City of London effectively…

5 months ago

Analyse technique de l’optimisation fiscale de TotalEnergies via sa filiale de trading à Genève. Application des principes de pleine concurrence (arm’s length principle)

Notre analyse multi-modèles appliquée aux données publiques confirme que TotalEnergies utilise une architecture complexe d’optimisation fiscale via sa filiale de…

5 months ago