crude oil

The Strait of Hormuz Crisis Is Over? Physical Markets Tell a Dangerous Lie

https://www.steelldy-indices.com Over several weeks, financial markets have gradually become convinced that the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz is in…

1 month ago

BIS/WEF Context on Transition Risks Compressing Long-Term Refining Margins: Carbon Tracker-Style Analysis and Quantitative Projections for TotalEnergies

Executive Summary Transition risks under 2°C pathways (IEA NZE/APS equivalents) drive structural demand destruction for refined products, compressing refining margins…

2 months ago

Refiner Margin Squeeze and the 3:2:1 Crack Spread Signal: Technical Analysis with Focus on TotalEnergies (as of mid-June 2026)

Executive Summary The 3:2:1 crack spread serves as a primary proxy for gross refining margins, calculated as: 3:2:1 Crack Spread=2×PGasoline (bbl)+1×PDistillate/Heating Oil (bbl)−3×PCrude (bbl)3\text{3:2:1 Crack Spread}…

2 months ago

The convergence of physical, behavioral, and microstructural signals confirms that Europe, and particularly France, has entered a regime of asynchronous systemic energy shortage

The convergence of physical, behavioral, and microstructural signals confirms that Europe, and particularly France, has entered a regime of asynchronous…

4 months ago

Hormuz Truce Fails to Quell Fuel Fears: IATA Warns of Months-Long Supply Snag

https://twitter.com/AlmaANET25/status/2041782097908789395 IATA Director General Willie Walsh warning that jet fuel supply restoration in the Middle East will require months even…

5 months ago