Bloomberg

Private credit funds face elevated risks in 2026 from two distinct but overlapping AI-related channels

Private credit funds face significant 2026 risks from two AI-related channels: disruption to software borrowers and demand shortfalls in AI…

1 week ago

SPV (special purpose vehicle) off-balance-sheet structures are a core financing tool in the AI data-center buildout

They allow hyperscalers to expand capacity rapidly while keeping the bulk of associated debt off their consolidated balance sheets, converting…

1 week ago

The correlation of AI in the credit architecture

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY. QUANTITATIVE FINANCE Contagion in AI financing cannot be understood through valuation levels or even growth rates. It is…

1 week ago

SSSI. The quantitative and microstructural architecture of stablecoin risk

Executive Summary With over $315 billion in daily trading volume, stablecoins have become the systemic plumbing of programmable finance. Yet,…

1 week ago

Analysis of regulatory obstacles regarding X Money

X Money, operated by X Payments LLC, is not a bank but a licensed money transmitter. It partners with Cross…

1 week ago

137 Countries, One Question. Measuring the CBDC Race Before the Settlement Reset

Central bank digital currencies have a communication problem. Every central bank publishes pilots, speeches and consultation papers, an endless stream…

1 week ago

SpaceX (SPCX). Probable Correction vs. Long-Term Trajectory

SpaceX (SPCX) faces a probable short-term correction of ≥30% (62-78% probability) from current levels (~$141-146), driven by negative convexity, retail…

2 weeks ago

Tokenized Municipal Micro-Bonds

Tokenized Municipal Micro-Bonds. We use the XRPL infrastructure to issue tokenized bonds funded by urban tolls… and local property taxes…

2 weeks ago

Why Gold’s Low Sharpe Ratio Masks Its True Value as a Strategic Tail-Risk Hedge

Gold (Sharpe 0.4-0.7, Volatility 12-15%) acts as a reserve asset, inversely correlated with the DXY. Its low Sharpe ratio is…

2 weeks ago

Beyond the Sharpe Ratio: Why Tail-Risk Hedging Is Essential in Bitcoin’s Fat-Tailed Markets

A long-only Bitcoin strategy with a target Sharpe ratio of 0.8–1.2 and 60–70% volatility is an inherently risky proposition. The…

2 weeks ago