Analyse de marché

The U.S. Treasury temporarily lifts nearly all sanctions on Iranian oil tankers, allowing exports loaded March 20 – April 19, 2026, signaling a major shift in Iran policy

The U.S. Treasury's General License U (issued March 20, 2026) is explicitly designed to exert downward pressure on oil prices…

3 semaines ago

On-chain and behavioral analysis focuses on investor cohorts, modeled by Gaussian Mixture Models, and key indicators

On-chain and behavioral analysis focuses on investor cohorts, modeled by Gaussian Mixture Models, and key indicators. Mega Whales (>10k BTC,…

3 semaines ago

The Three-Dimensional Dynamics of Gold/Wheat/Bitcoin (XAU/ZW/BTC) – The Survival Triangle in a Systemic Crisis Regime

The Trinity of Survival Recomposes Itself The March 19, 2026 session marked a structural recomposition of the assets we previously…

4 semaines ago

Tactical Decoupling Gold/Wheat – Analysis of the Fall of Gold to $4,575

The drop in gold to $4,575 (the sharpest daily decline since 2020) does not invalidate the "Gold/Wheat = Twin Survival…

4 semaines ago

The emergence of a Gas-Wheat correlation of 0.75 indicates a transmission of energy shocks to agriculture not modeled by traditional approaches

This study presents a multi-layer quantitative intelligence architecture for modeling extreme geopolitical risk, applied to the current Persian Gulf crisis.…

4 semaines ago

Predictions for the 2026 midterm elections

Predictions for the 2026 midterm elections are overwhelmingly negative for the Republican Party (GOP). Trump's approval rating is between 42…

4 semaines ago

Geopolitics, Monetary Risks Fuel UBS $6,200 Gold Price Target by End of 2026

UBS analysts forecast a significant increase in gold prices, predicting a rise of 20% to reach $6,200 per ounce by…

4 semaines ago

Debt, Deficits, and Dollar Debasement Fueling Gold’s Bull Market

In a podcast discussion, Mike Maharrey of Money Metals interviewed Brian Lundin, President and CEO of Jefferson Financial, regarding factors…

4 semaines ago

Capital Flight from the Emirates to Stablecoins – The « Digital Safe Haven » Phenomenon in the Context of Geopolitical Crisis

The integrated analysis of the Steelldy Risk Engine and Steelldy Gotham confirms that the USDC stablecoin has become the preferred…

4 semaines ago

Private Credit Risk Assessment and Liquidity Contagion Dynamics

Morgan Stanley (MS) is experiencing a severe liquidity crisis in its Direct Lending segment.This pressure stems from three systemic factors:…

4 semaines ago