November 14, 2026: the date treasurers around the world cannot afford to miss

2 months ago

Lead: In less than three months, SWIFT will reject any cross-border payment whose postal address is not structured. 65% of…

Market Status and Risk Architecture Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Solana

2 months ago

Bitcoin functions as a systemic anchor and market factor. Its circulating supply stands at approximately 19.95–20.08 million BTC. US spot…

Macro environment: duration, dollar, oil, politics

2 months ago

The dominant factor in September is not an endogenous crypto narrative but a regime of real rates and geopolitical energy…

Dollar-backed stablecoins, neo-mercantilist regime, and energy constraints. Implications for digital assets and investment strategies

2 months ago

Dollar-backed stablecoins have become a dual-use instrument of U.S. economic power, extending the dollar's reach into markets where correspondent banking…

Crypto Markets Show Recovery Signs But Face Three Key Frictions Ahead

2 months ago

The market has exited the capitulation phase of June 2026, where BTC fell below $60k, driven by ETF creations and…

Crypto Quartet Risk Map: How BTC, ETH, XRP, and SOL React to a Hawkish Fed Shift

2 months ago

1.1 Bitcoin. Core Collateral, Not an Alt Price sits below the self-custody cost basis shelf (~$80.8k) and under the Glassnode…

From Bonds to Bitcoin: “Debasement Trade” Powers Crypto Surge Amid $40T U.S. Debt

2 months ago

Bitcoin rallied 6% in the week of August 19, triggered by a yields at their highest since 2007, seen as…

Crypto’s Fragile Rally at $77K. The High-Stakes Link Between AI Systemic Risk and Token Speculation

3 months ago

Contagion in AI financing cannot be understood through valuation levels or even growth rates. It must be understood through the…

Private credit funds face elevated risks in 2026 from two distinct but overlapping AI-related channels

3 months ago

Private credit funds face significant 2026 risks from two AI-related channels: disruption to software borrowers and demand shortfalls in AI…

SPV (special purpose vehicle) off-balance-sheet structures are a core financing tool in the AI data-center buildout

3 months ago

They allow hyperscalers to expand capacity rapidly while keeping the bulk of associated debt off their consolidated balance sheets, converting…