Crypto Markets Show Recovery Signs But Face Three Key Frictions Ahead

2 months ago

The market has exited the capitulation phase of June 2026, where BTC fell below $60k, driven by ETF creations and…

Crypto Quartet Risk Map: How BTC, ETH, XRP, and SOL React to a Hawkish Fed Shift

2 months ago

1.1 Bitcoin. Core Collateral, Not an Alt Price sits below the self-custody cost basis shelf (~$80.8k) and under the Glassnode…

From Bonds to Bitcoin: “Debasement Trade” Powers Crypto Surge Amid $40T U.S. Debt

3 months ago

Bitcoin rallied 6% in the week of August 19, triggered by a yields at their highest since 2007, seen as…

Crypto’s Fragile Rally at $77K. The High-Stakes Link Between AI Systemic Risk and Token Speculation

3 months ago

Contagion in AI financing cannot be understood through valuation levels or even growth rates. It must be understood through the…

Private credit funds face elevated risks in 2026 from two distinct but overlapping AI-related channels

3 months ago

Private credit funds face significant 2026 risks from two AI-related channels: disruption to software borrowers and demand shortfalls in AI…

SPV (special purpose vehicle) off-balance-sheet structures are a core financing tool in the AI data-center buildout

3 months ago

They allow hyperscalers to expand capacity rapidly while keeping the bulk of associated debt off their consolidated balance sheets, converting…

The correlation of AI in the credit architecture

3 months ago

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY. QUANTITATIVE FINANCE Contagion in AI financing cannot be understood through valuation levels or even growth rates. It is…

SSSI. The quantitative and microstructural architecture of stablecoin risk

3 months ago

Executive Summary With over $315 billion in daily trading volume, stablecoins have become the systemic plumbing of programmable finance. Yet,…

How Circular Financing in AI Creates Hidden Risks Beneath a Boom

3 months ago

Circular financing in the AI sector refers to a tightly interlinked system of equity investments, compute commitments, guarantees, and off-balance-sheet…

BIS Warns: AI Spending Spree Echoes Past Market Manias and Recessions

3 months ago

AI bubble risks are elevated as of mid-to-late 2026, driven by an unprecedented capital expenditure boom outpacing near-term monetization, high…