Bitcoin remains a reserve asset with a structure showing recovery from $58-62k, rejection under $81-86k, and consolidation around $77k. NUPL…
The framework is a two-regime Markov model with observable states, not a calibrated HMM Regime 1 (Liquidity risk-on) is indicated…
Thesis. Raw materials are regaining a core portfolio role (hedging a multipolar world and AI electrification), while European ESG shifts…
Thesis. The European Omnibus did not kill ESG: it transformed it from a mass legal obligation into a competitive market…
The macro regime as of September 2, 2026, shows a strong U.S. dollar (DXY at ~99.73-99.80) and rising 10-year U.S.…
The dominant factor in September is not an endogenous crypto narrative but a regime of real rates and geopolitical energy…
Dollar-backed stablecoins have become a dual-use instrument of U.S. economic power, extending the dollar's reach into markets where correspondent banking…
The market has exited the capitulation phase of June 2026, where BTC fell below $60k, driven by ETF creations and…
Bitcoin surged to $76,800-$77,600, gaining 6-8% in 24 hours and 20% for the week. The market saw over $4 billion…
The stablecoin market has crossed a symbolic threshold: a market capitalization of over $315 billion. What was, five years ago,…