Fed towards 5.75% by end 2026) plus a geopolitical shock risk (combined regime 3/4 probability ≈ 25%

Continued rate hikes. ECB towards 3.75%. Fed towards 5.75% by end of 2026

These projections come from a complete hybrid Monte Carlo simulation (incorporating coupled stochastic processes, embedded HMM regime-switching, an affine term…

7 hours ago