Bitcoin remains a reserve asset with a structure showing recovery from $58-62k, rejection under $81-86k, and consolidation around $77k. NUPL…
The framework is a two-regime Markov model with observable states, not a calibrated HMM Regime 1 (Liquidity risk-on) is indicated…
Thesis. Raw materials are regaining a core portfolio role (hedging a multipolar world and AI electrification), while European ESG shifts…
Blockchains, consolidation toward regulated infrastructure. The event of 2026 is not a new L1 but the migration of value toward…
Thesis. The European Omnibus did not kill ESG: it transformed it from a mass legal obligation into a competitive market…
The macro regime as of September 2, 2026, shows a strong U.S. dollar (DXY at ~99.73-99.80) and rising 10-year U.S.…
The dominant factor in September is not an endogenous crypto narrative but a regime of real rates and geopolitical energy…
The market has exited the capitulation phase of June 2026, where BTC fell below $60k, driven by ETF creations and…
Bitcoin rallied 6% in the week of August 19, triggered by a yields at their highest since 2007, seen as…
Bitcoin surged to $76,800-$77,600, gaining 6-8% in 24 hours and 20% for the week. The market saw over $4 billion…