Markets

Commodities & ESG taxonomy: real returns in a world of real assets

Thesis. Raw materials are regaining a core portfolio role (hedging a multipolar world and AI electrification), while European ESG shifts…

2 months ago

Gold  against stocks

Gold was indeed a high-Sharpe asset during certain windows from 2025 to early 2026, and long-term bonds did under perform.…

2 months ago

The Perfect Storm: Oil’s Spike, Japan’s Debt Shock, and Nvidia’s Quiet Bond Exit

Oil prices surged sharply after the US announced new strikes on southern Iran. Brent crude exceeded $92 per barrel, while…

2 months ago

Rising Demand for Direct Ownership of Physical Gold

The Financial Times reports a marked shift among wealthy investors toward direct ownership of physical gold and secure, individually allocated…

2 months ago

Structural Shifts in Central Bank Demand Are Redefining Gold’s Support Levels

According to Société Générale, the time has come to view gold optimistically again, as they observe a gradual recovery after…

2 months ago

Macro environment: duration, dollar, oil, politics

The dominant factor in September is not an endogenous crypto narrative but a regime of real rates and geopolitical energy…

2 months ago

SpaceX (SPCX). Probable Correction vs. Long-Term Trajectory

SpaceX (SPCX) faces a probable short-term correction of ≥30% (62-78% probability) from current levels (~$141-146), driven by negative convexity, retail…

3 months ago

SpaceX (SPCX). Post-IPO Dynamics, Negative Convexity & AI Integration

The chart analysis (daily SPCX candlesticks, mid-June to mid-August 2026) confirms negative convexity from massive retail participation. The IPO on…

3 months ago

Power Is the New Bottleneck. AI’s 945 TWh Problem Reprices Energy, Compute and Capital (2026–2030)

The base case, from the IEA. Global data centres consumed about 415 TWh in 2024, 1.5% of world electricity, roughly…

3 months ago

Gold as an Implicit Call Option on Fiat Collapse: A Model-Driven Analysis

According to the methodology of Dixit and Pindyck (1994), gold contains an implicit call option on the collapse of the…

3 months ago