Markets

The U.S. Treasury temporarily lifts nearly all sanctions on Iranian oil tankers, allowing exports loaded March 20 – April 19, 2026, signaling a major shift in Iran policy

The U.S. Treasury's General License U (issued March 20, 2026) is explicitly designed to exert downward pressure on oil prices…

6 months ago

On-chain and behavioral analysis focuses on investor cohorts, modeled by Gaussian Mixture Models, and key indicators

On-chain and behavioral analysis focuses on investor cohorts, modeled by Gaussian Mixture Models, and key indicators. Mega Whales (>10k BTC,…

6 months ago

The Three-Dimensional Dynamics of Gold/Wheat/Bitcoin (XAU/ZW/BTC) – The Survival Triangle in a Systemic Crisis Regime

The Trinity of Survival Recomposes Itself The March 19, 2026 session marked a structural recomposition of the assets we previously…

6 months ago

Tactical Decoupling Gold/Wheat – Analysis of the Fall of Gold to $4,575

The drop in gold to $4,575 (the sharpest daily decline since 2020) does not invalidate the "Gold/Wheat = Twin Survival…

6 months ago

The emergence of a Gas-Wheat correlation of 0.75 indicates a transmission of energy shocks to agriculture not modeled by traditional approaches

This study presents a multi-layer quantitative intelligence architecture for modeling extreme geopolitical risk, applied to the current Persian Gulf crisis.…

6 months ago

Predictions for the 2026 midterm elections

Predictions for the 2026 midterm elections are overwhelmingly negative for the Republican Party (GOP). Trump's approval rating is between 42…

6 months ago

Geopolitics, Monetary Risks Fuel UBS $6,200 Gold Price Target by End of 2026

UBS analysts forecast a significant increase in gold prices, predicting a rise of 20% to reach $6,200 per ounce by…

6 months ago

Debt, Deficits, and Dollar Debasement Fueling Gold’s Bull Market

In a podcast discussion, Mike Maharrey of Money Metals interviewed Brian Lundin, President and CEO of Jefferson Financial, regarding factors…

6 months ago

Capital Flight from the Emirates to Stablecoins – The “Digital Safe Haven” Phenomenon in the Context of Geopolitical Crisis

The integrated analysis of the Steelldy Risk Engine and Steelldy Gotham confirms that the USDC stablecoin has become the preferred…

6 months ago

Private Credit Risk Assessment and Liquidity Contagion Dynamics

Morgan Stanley (MS) is experiencing a severe liquidity crisis in its Direct Lending segment.This pressure stems from three systemic factors:…

6 months ago