Economie

US Treasury just issued General License 134A, allowing limited transactions for Russian-origin oil already loaded before March 12, 2026. This authorization is valid until April 11, 2026

The “return of Russian oil” refers to the U.S. Treasury’s series of short-term General Licenses (GL 133 issued March 5,…

1 mois ago

The U.S. Treasury temporarily lifts nearly all sanctions on Iranian oil tankers, allowing exports loaded March 20 – April 19, 2026, signaling a major shift in Iran policy

The U.S. Treasury's General License U (issued March 20, 2026) is explicitly designed to exert downward pressure on oil prices…

1 mois ago

On-chain and behavioral analysis focuses on investor cohorts, modeled by Gaussian Mixture Models, and key indicators

On-chain and behavioral analysis focuses on investor cohorts, modeled by Gaussian Mixture Models, and key indicators. Mega Whales (>10k BTC,…

1 mois ago

The Three-Dimensional Dynamics of Gold/Wheat/Bitcoin (XAU/ZW/BTC) – The Survival Triangle in a Systemic Crisis Regime

The Trinity of Survival Recomposes Itself The March 19, 2026 session marked a structural recomposition of the assets we previously…

1 mois ago

Tactical Decoupling Gold/Wheat – Analysis of the Fall of Gold to $4,575

The drop in gold to $4,575 (the sharpest daily decline since 2020) does not invalidate the "Gold/Wheat = Twin Survival…

1 mois ago

The emergence of a Gas-Wheat correlation of 0.75 indicates a transmission of energy shocks to agriculture not modeled by traditional approaches

This study presents a multi-layer quantitative intelligence architecture for modeling extreme geopolitical risk, applied to the current Persian Gulf crisis.…

1 mois ago

Predictions for the 2026 midterm elections

Predictions for the 2026 midterm elections are overwhelmingly negative for the Republican Party (GOP). Trump's approval rating is between 42…

1 mois ago

Geopolitics, Monetary Risks Fuel UBS $6,200 Gold Price Target by End of 2026

UBS analysts forecast a significant increase in gold prices, predicting a rise of 20% to reach $6,200 per ounce by…

1 mois ago

Debt, Deficits, and Dollar Debasement Fueling Gold’s Bull Market

In a podcast discussion, Mike Maharrey of Money Metals interviewed Brian Lundin, President and CEO of Jefferson Financial, regarding factors…

1 mois ago

Capital Flight from the Emirates to Stablecoins – The « Digital Safe Haven » Phenomenon in the Context of Geopolitical Crisis

The integrated analysis of the Steelldy Risk Engine and Steelldy Gotham confirms that the USDC stablecoin has become the preferred…

1 mois ago