The emergence of a Gas-Wheat correlation of 0.75 indicates a transmission of energy shocks to agriculture not modeled by traditional approaches

2 semaines ago

This study presents a multi-layer quantitative intelligence architecture for modeling extreme geopolitical risk, applied to the current Persian Gulf crisis.…

The Five Pillars Driving a Costly US-Iran War of Attrition Through 2027

2 semaines ago

The 2026 US-Iran conflict will evolve into a prolonged war of attrition, with asymmetric consequences unfavorable to US allies and…

Predictions for the 2026 midterm elections

2 semaines ago

Predictions for the 2026 midterm elections are overwhelmingly negative for the Republican Party (GOP). Trump's approval rating is between 42…

Geopolitics, Monetary Risks Fuel UBS $6,200 Gold Price Target by End of 2026

2 semaines ago

UBS analysts forecast a significant increase in gold prices, predicting a rise of 20% to reach $6,200 per ounce by…

Debt, Deficits, and Dollar Debasement Fueling Gold’s Bull Market

2 semaines ago

In a podcast discussion, Mike Maharrey of Money Metals interviewed Brian Lundin, President and CEO of Jefferson Financial, regarding factors…

Capital Flight from the Emirates to Stablecoins – The « Digital Safe Haven » Phenomenon in the Context of Geopolitical Crisis

2 semaines ago

The integrated analysis of the Steelldy Risk Engine and Steelldy Gotham confirms that the USDC stablecoin has become the preferred…

Private Credit Risk Assessment and Liquidity Contagion Dynamics

2 semaines ago

Morgan Stanley (MS) is experiencing a severe liquidity crisis in its Direct Lending segment.This pressure stems from three systemic factors:…

The US Treasury announcement on 03/13/2026 temporarily lifts restrictions on Russian oil

2 semaines ago

The US Treasury issued a temporary waiver on restrictions for certain stranded Russian oil shipments, announced around March 12-13, 2026,…

Return of Russian oil. Systemic inversion of hydrocarbon flows (Russia–EU). Collapse of the risk premium and gravitation of liquidity clusters.

3 semaines ago

Europe has hit a mathematical wall: the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz has removed 5 to 7 million barrels…

Liste des exploitations pétrolières & gazières fermées dans les pays du Golf (statut : shut-in / offline)

3 semaines ago

I. Émirat du Qatar Le Qatar, dépendant à 100% du détroit d'Ormuz pour son exportation de GNL, est le premier…