ESG/Fiscal Dimensions of Refiner Margin Squeeze: Carbon Pricing (Internal Shadow Prices) and Tax Loss Harvesting – TotalEnergies Case Study

3 months ago

1. Carbon Pricing Framework: Explicit (EU ETS) vs. Implicit/Internal Shadow Pricing TotalEnergies employs an internal carbon price (ICP)1 or shadow…

Refiner Margin Squeeze and the 3:2:1 Crack Spread Signal: Technical Analysis with Focus on TotalEnergies (as of mid-June 2026)

3 months ago

Executive Summary The 3:2:1 crack spread serves as a primary proxy for gross refining margins, calculated as: 3:2:1 Crack Spread=2×PGasoline (bbl)+1×PDistillate/Heating Oil (bbl)−3×PCrude (bbl)3\text{3:2:1 Crack Spread}…

Inflation Surge Crushes Gold & Silver Amidst Geopolitical Turbulence

3 months ago

Gold prices have plummeted, trading near $4,078.00, down 4.26%, and silver near $63.605, down 2.66%, following Wednesday's trading close. This…

Construction of a Conditional Hedge via MNQ Micro E-mini Nasdaq Short. Calibration on BTC Beta=0.45

3 months ago

This study details an advanced quantitative modeling of a conditional hedge for a crypto-exposed portfolio, employing Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 (MNQ)…

The construction of a conditional hedge for Bitcoin (BTC) against systemic risks from Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs)

3 months ago

CTAs, large systematic trend-following funds, can trigger massive redemptions and forced selling during correlated drawdowns in tech indices like the…

Deep Microstructure Audit, CTA Liquidity Hunting & “Left-Side” Accumulation Detection @ 66,752 USD

3 months ago

The current BTC price is part of a deep liquidity hunt orchestrated by |...| algorithms to trigger the programmed liquidation…

Stellar’s DTCC Partnership: Hype vs. Reality for Tokenized Assets

4 months ago

The announcement of a partnership between the DTCC and the Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) for asset tokenization on Stellar by…

Silver vs. Gold: When and Why Silver Often Takes the Lead

4 months ago

Silver, a unique hybrid asset (monetary, industrial, speculative, linked to energy transition), exhibits higher volatility than gold. Its price is…

Gold Prices Dip, But Fund Manager Sees Long-Term Rally Intact

4 months ago

Excerpt from the article by Neils Christensen The gold market has experienced a downturn, with prices falling below $4,500 and…

Liquidity Analysis : the absorption corridor reigns supreme

4 months ago

(1) The Floor (Bid Floor): The massive $2 billion long support block is positioned at $73,600, backed by the institutional…